@c1cada-3301

#2,613,90366

0xbf51bf2116112da9a5df379e6e539ec42f3a0439

~11d· 21 markets · 107 tradesVol: $28,5982026-08-05 17:26:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (6/19)0.8/20
4.74x (win $1,524 / loss $322)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.78115/15
Sortino 58.20810/10
$+1.8109 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1533 (19 markets)4.8/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 13% of peak ($180 / $1,383)10/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 13%

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#765,255$-53Vol: $23,123
🏛️ POLITICS#1,350,912$-17Vol: $3,134
₿ CRYPTO#1,406,669$-57Vol: $1,733
⚽ SPORTS#361,941$3Vol: $608

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-123
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,598
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
36B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
6W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-123
Win Rate
32%
6W / 13L
Profit Factor
4.74x
Avg Win
$254
Avg Loss
$-32

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,440 (11.684304496023373% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,304
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$70
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$66
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$63
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$21

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-161
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-70
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 8?$-37
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$-14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$-10
US government shutdown Saturday?$-8
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?$-6
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$-5
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.287
Sortino
3.213
HHI
1931
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.593
Kelly %
11.0%
Half-Kelly
5.5%
Top-1 market
30.3%
Top-5 markets
88.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.92
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
21
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 269s — normal for humanCV 0.92 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.63
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)52.8%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)30.6%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 8:42:46 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/19/2026, 5:19:05 PM13 trades$59411 min
6/20/2026, 5:29:59 PM9 trades$3153 min
5/22/2026, 7:21:11 PM3 trades$2610 min
6/22/2026, 10:42:28 PM7 trades$1873 min
6/19/2026, 9:59:13 AM5 trades$1811 min
6/19/2026, 5:44:02 PM8 trades$1090 min
6/13/2026, 7:44:12 AM9 trades$1022 min
6/21/2026, 1:45:35 AM18 trades$615 min
6/19/2026, 9:26:11 AM3 trades$580 min
2/8/2026, 11:06:35 AM1 trades$490 min
6/20/2026, 5:16:59 AM3 trades$450 min
6/20/2026, 9:03:23 AM5 trades$431 min
6/23/2026, 10:56:17 AM2 trades$380 min
2/8/2026, 11:20:09 AM1 trades$370 min
6/19/2026, 8:13:19 AM2 trades$360 min
6/18/2026, 6:33:22 PM7 trades$330 min
6/23/2026, 11:04:49 AM2 trades$320 min
5/27/2026, 2:24:54 PM2 trades$200 min
5/22/2026, 3:40:45 PM4 trades$202 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
02-08
05-22
05-27
06-13
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-21
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.63/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L52.8 / M16.7 / H30.6