@caaeth
#29,499880x2f76fc670a0bc97cdcbe20823a20dab70f357bcc
~20d· 42 markets · 467 tradesVol: $158,3112026-08-04 17:18:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
54% (19/35)12.1/20
8.68x (win $20,061 / loss $2,312)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.48515/15
Sortino 471.13410/10
$+0.7046 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1427 (35 markets)5.4/10
11/15 profitable days (73%)10/10
Max DD 1% of peak ($168 / $17,917)10/10
Badges
8Profitable
PnL $+4,148
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 15.7 entries/market
Consistent
11/15 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 1%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#7,106$4,218Vol: $78,576
⚽ SPORTS#1,601,714$-53Vol: $46,343
📢 MENTIONS#160,100$-69Vol: $13,707
💰 FINANCE#615,426$-43Vol: $10,603
📈 ECONOMICS#14,125$80Vol: $8,314
₿ CRYPTO#198,083$16Vol: $768
Overview
#1Net PnL
$4,148
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$158,311
Total Redeem
$5,345
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
297B / 170S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,148
Vol: $158,311
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
54%
19W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$4,148
Win Rate
54%
19W / 16L
Profit Factor
8.68x
Avg Win
$1,056
Avg Loss
$-178
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,575 (4.718771168156825% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$13,817
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$5,325
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$433
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?$131
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$82
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$75
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?$31
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026?$31
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11?$26
Top Losers
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?$-882
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$-860
Will Pete Hegseth sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-163
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$-107
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-79
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-63
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$-54
Will Trump say "Trump University" in April?$-33
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-30
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66?$-26
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.328
Sortino
14.315
HHI
2605
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.513
Kelly %
43.7%
Half-Kelly
21.8%
Top-1 market
31.6%
Top-5 markets
101.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
13.6m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 104s — normal for humanCV 5.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.74
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)55.9%
Mid (20-55c)25.6%
High (>55c)18.5%
Sessions
#124/6/2026, 2:33:59 PM10 trades$7,2001 min
4/7/2026, 2:23:43 PM5 trades$6,9289 min
4/7/2026, 4:51:37 PM46 trades$4,66512 min
4/3/2026, 5:08:47 PM2 trades$4,0000 min
6/23/2026, 12:30:10 AM21 trades$3,1186 min
6/23/2026, 7:39:49 AM12 trades$2,0991 min
6/23/2026, 12:24:13 AM5 trades$2,0550 min
6/19/2026, 7:55:55 AM7 trades$2,0492 min
6/11/2026, 8:15:42 AM9 trades$1,6402 min
6/11/2026, 9:17:39 AM8 trades$1,5596 min
6/11/2026, 1:00:12 PM11 trades$1,3470 min
4/7/2026, 8:46:55 AM12 trades$1,3170 min
6/11/2026, 8:35:30 AM16 trades$1,1809 min
4/18/2026, 4:57:50 PM2 trades$1,0100 min
4/7/2026, 4:34:09 PM12 trades$87912 min
4/7/2026, 5:27:51 PM22 trades$84929 min
12/23/2025, 4:41:33 PM4 trades$4651 min
4/7/2026, 6:30:51 PM4 trades$4071 min
4/7/2026, 7:33:51 PM2 trades$3822 min
6/23/2026, 3:54:16 AM1 trades$3480 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-11
11-14
02-26
04-06
04-08
05-07
06-11
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.74/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55.9 / M25.6 / H18.5