cachacero

@cachacero

#2,902,25422

0x500282b125331623cdb047a9e6be6b3368bb9eef

~33d· 1566 markets · 10156 tradesVol: $109,3492026-08-05 02:44:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (771/1562)9.7/20
0.90x (win $6,768 / loss $7,504)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9280/15
Sortino -6.0840/10
$-0.0271 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 28 (1562 markets)10/10
11/32 profitable days (34%)1.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($887 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
81% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 6.5 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,609,801$-795Vol: $109,247
💰 FINANCE#105,115$2Vol: $102

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-793
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$109,349
Total Redeem
$4,880
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1566
total markets
Trades
6453B / 3703S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $159
Month
$-1
Vol: $597
All Time
$-793
Vol: $109,349

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
771W / 791L events
Realized PnL
$-793
Win Rate
49%
771W / 791L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $375 (0.47277589948024423% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$168
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$110
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$98
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$71
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$66
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$65
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$50

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$-156
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-139
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$-117
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$-97
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$-52
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.305
Sortino
-0.303
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.4%
Half-Kelly
0.2%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
58.0
Very active
Markets / Day
8.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.4m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
41 min
Avg Trades / Session
112.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 1.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock58 trades/day — mass trading8.9 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9%
Mid (20-55c)71.7%
High (>55c)19.3%

Sessions

#12
2/17/2026, 10:46:21 AM668 trades$1,36992 min
2/17/2026, 4:46:35 AM530 trades$1,08653 min
2/24/2026, 6:22:24 PM246 trades$725158 min
2/13/2026, 5:15:07 AM116 trades$71839 min
2/13/2026, 11:24:13 PM34 trades$65016 min
2/24/2026, 8:31:06 AM235 trades$601136 min
2/24/2026, 11:12:10 AM235 trades$598141 min
2/13/2026, 4:00:05 AM82 trades$58025 min
2/17/2026, 4:50:15 PM251 trades$55815 min
2/12/2026, 2:28:29 PM60 trades$53722 min
2/13/2026, 3:00:17 AM84 trades$53324 min
2/17/2026, 1:59:53 AM194 trades$53017 min
2/12/2026, 4:15:39 PM51 trades$4649 min
2/24/2026, 3:25:16 AM173 trades$445108 min
2/17/2026, 2:25:53 AM167 trades$43221 min
2/12/2026, 4:45:09 PM69 trades$4316 min
2/18/2026, 2:36:50 PM188 trades$417129 min
2/25/2026, 2:00:06 AM168 trades$415117 min
2/12/2026, 5:00:07 PM45 trades$3895 min
2/17/2026, 6:30:55 PM183 trades$38119 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
02-18
02-23
07-15
07-21
07-26
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L9 / M71.7 / H19.3