cake2041

@cake2041

#136,19181

0x7cf4872cae81a4de8132be975a41de31e3b77fac

~111d· 152 markets · 512 tradesVol: $50,727 @dem929672026-08-05 00:14:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

85% (126/148)20/20
1.80x (win $725 / loss $402)12.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.56315/15
Sortino 2.80310/10
$+0.0122 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 294 (148 markets)10/10
78/90 profitable days (87%)10/10
Max DD 55% of peak ($202 / $370)3.1/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+347
Consistent
78/90 profitable days
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

8
₿ CRYPTO#57,789$258Vol: $17,054
🏛️ POLITICS#46,747$183Vol: $14,973
🌤️ WEATHER#282,280$-79Vol: $12,255
⚽ SPORTS#190,112$35Vol: $1,278
💰 FINANCE#61,243$8Vol: $1,253
📈 ECONOMICS#55,382$6Vol: $477
💻 TECH#166,715$-0Vol: $254
🎭 CULTURE#771,266$-70Vol: $156

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$347
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,727
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
152
total markets
Trades
217B / 295S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~111d

Periods

#2
Today
$6
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $200
Month
$15
Vol: $200
All Time
$347
Vol: $50,727

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
125W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$347
Win Rate
84%
125W / 23L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $448 (1.291381945045123% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21?$330
US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?$80
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$38
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$32
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$29
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on June 15?$18
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$12
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?$10
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$7

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?$-190
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?$-130
Will Elon Musk tweet 800 or more times February 7-14?$-70
Will $ETH hit $2000 or $4000 first?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.048
HHI
240
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
27.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 1.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.59
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)8.3%
High (>55c)88.9%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 8:40:04 AM3 trades$1,8500 min
4/28/2026, 9:44:10 AM3 trades$1,7910 min
3/8/2025, 5:26:45 AM1 trades$1,5000 min
3/10/2025, 1:14:07 AM9 trades$1,3166 min
4/30/2026, 8:59:12 AM9 trades$1,2332 min
6/14/2026, 3:16:42 AM36 trades$1,0658 min
7/13/2026, 10:21:53 AM4 trades$1,0013 min
3/9/2025, 8:20:15 AM1 trades$9950 min
5/12/2026, 7:38:13 AM5 trades$8932 min
10/30/2024, 5:18:42 AM11 trades$8587 min
3/12/2025, 2:51:26 AM1 trades$7790 min
3/12/2026, 8:05:43 AM9 trades$7134 min
3/11/2025, 1:58:14 PM45 trades$63756 min
3/11/2025, 2:56:04 AM1 trades$6030 min
5/16/2026, 1:38:56 AM2 trades$5970 min
5/11/2026, 9:41:44 AM12 trades$57813 min
4/30/2026, 12:48:08 PM5 trades$5681 min
2/8/2026, 8:11:41 AM3 trades$5664 min
3/11/2025, 9:09:44 PM3 trades$5303 min
2/26/2025, 1:39:09 PM1 trades$5280 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-30
02-22
04-21
09-02
01-13
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 102 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
20% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M8.3 / H88.9