calucaio

@calucaio

#94,82240

0xb54ee131e477b9903b58b66b4aec8985c0e5b2a7

~79d· 447 markets · 3155 tradesVol: $128,1682026-08-05 21:58:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (212/447)8.7/20
1.05x (win $4,032 / loss $3,833)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3737/15
Sortino 0.4164.2/10
$+0.0045 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 94 (447 markets)10/10
44/78 profitable days (56%)6.6/10
Max DD 159% of peak ($902 / $567)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+747
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#3,116$388Vol: $101,117
SPORTS#64,862$375Vol: $24,792
CRYPTO#1,273,486$-21Vol: $2,180
💰 FINANCE#75,221$5Vol: $78

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$747
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$128,168
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
447
total markets
Trades
1644B / 1511S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $174
Week
$-51
Vol: $1,178
Month
$-36
Vol: $1,523
All Time
$747
Vol: $128,168

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
212W / 235L events
Realized PnL
$747
Win Rate
47%
212W / 235L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $402 (0.5385583462753709% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 17°C on May 11?$163
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?$126
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 12?$114
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?$96
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?$92
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-14?$88
Federico Valverde: 1+ goals$85
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 7?$78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 28?$77
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 8?$69

Top Losers

Exact Score: Uruguay 2 - 2 Cabo Verde?$-973
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on May 14?$-261
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C or below on May 15?$-188
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6?$-177
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on May 15?$-148
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 14?$-72
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?$-70
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on May 13?$-65
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on July 23?$-61
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 18?$-52

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.019
Sortino
0.015
HHI
126
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
12.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.1m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 2.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active2.8 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.11
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.6%
Mid (20-55c)26.3%
High (>55c)55.1%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 10:26:37 AM8 trades$1,0603 min
5/11/2026, 5:59:17 PM5 trades$1,0541 min
5/12/2026, 6:00:44 PM9 trades$1,0530 min
6/7/2026, 11:48:10 AM4 trades$1,0330 min
5/13/2026, 2:01:14 PM45 trades$66729 min
6/19/2026, 7:46:08 PM2 trades$6280 min
6/13/2026, 2:21:01 AM2 trades$6280 min
7/7/2026, 12:11:38 AM2 trades$5970 min
5/13/2026, 6:16:14 PM16 trades$5761 min
6/16/2026, 8:30:16 PM5 trades$5745 min
6/13/2026, 4:32:03 PM15 trades$5612 min
6/21/2026, 1:11:10 AM4 trades$5550 min
6/19/2026, 2:20:01 AM5 trades$5441 min
6/20/2026, 8:59:04 PM4 trades$5350 min
6/18/2026, 5:38:16 PM5 trades$4822 min
6/25/2026, 3:05:13 PM5 trades$4803 min
6/17/2026, 2:28:36 AM2 trades$4500 min
5/3/2026, 3:07:00 AM14 trades$4139 min
6/11/2026, 1:23:51 AM38 trades$3875 min
6/10/2026, 1:38:01 PM18 trades$3732 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-26
04-01
05-04
05-28
06-16
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
84% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.6 / M26.3 / H55.1