@camtomo

#2,171,67710

0x4906519b8b658eba58d3daf27d50be539ace7e10

~50d· 56 markets · 533 tradesVol: $45,7702026-08-04 19:08:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (12/55)0/20
0.81x (win $1,370 / loss $1,688)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3420/15
Sortino -2.0280/10
$-0.0991 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 502 (55 markets)10/10
6/29 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 435% of peak ($1,171 / $269)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
💻 TECH#7,833$60Vol: $16,530
🎭 CULTURE#27,143$63Vol: $13,465
⚽ SPORTS#1,102,300$-3Vol: $11,426
💰 FINANCE#627,495$-79Vol: $3,857
📢 MENTIONS#154,209$-42Vol: $262
🏛️ POLITICS#1,351,515$-17Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-27
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,770
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
56
total markets
Trades
264B / 269S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-23
Vol: $302
Week
$191
Vol: $7,316
Month
$197
Vol: $7,316
All Time
$-27
Vol: $45,770

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
12W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$-27
Win Rate
22%
12W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$114
Avg Loss
$-51

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $983 (36.784350430550354% of PnL)

Top Winners

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$541
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$304
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$137
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.60 and $2.90 on July 31, 2026?$134
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$81
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$51
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$40
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$34
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$30
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$10

Top Losers

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$-347
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-282
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$-188
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$-152
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m?$-130
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$-105
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 184m?$-85
Will Luxembourg win on 2026-06-03?$-52
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?$-47
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.069
Sortino
-0.101
HHI
692
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.098
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.3%
Top-5 markets
50.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1422s — normal for humanCV 1.50 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.02
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)51.9%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)35.6%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 4:00:53 AM13 trades$8412 min
6/7/2026, 12:33:10 PM8 trades$3891 min
6/16/2026, 1:51:39 AM14 trades$3771 min
6/17/2026, 9:08:37 AM10 trades$3720 min
6/26/2026, 3:56:49 AM4 trades$3091 min
6/9/2026, 5:18:54 PM14 trades$2675 min
6/9/2026, 3:08:39 PM8 trades$2360 min
7/14/2026, 12:26:02 PM24 trades$2362 min
7/8/2026, 6:29:10 AM5 trades$2111 min
7/27/2026, 3:16:00 AM5 trades$2060 min
6/3/2026, 1:26:46 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/13/2026, 3:09:37 AM4 trades$1903 min
7/27/2026, 1:09:37 AM6 trades$1750 min
6/15/2026, 7:46:45 AM5 trades$1701 min
6/5/2026, 3:20:25 AM6 trades$1621 min
7/7/2026, 9:14:08 AM4 trades$1600 min
6/16/2026, 10:09:53 PM7 trades$1440 min
6/24/2026, 2:50:53 PM16 trades$1215 min
6/6/2026, 4:17:36 AM4 trades$1150 min
6/15/2026, 7:39:51 PM1 trades$1130 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-03
06-11
06-20
06-24
07-01
07-07
07-15
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.02/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.9 / M12.5 / H35.6