@cansas

#2,628,98337

0xdc4d47d2792cb7b2d092723411da9541d3e3d451

~16d· 42 markets · 59 tradesVol: $11,1032026-08-04 18:59:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

92% (37/40)20/20
0.72x (win $306 / loss $427)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8280/15
Sortino -1.9670/10
$-0.0210 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1052 (40 markets)7.2/10
8/10 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 156% of peak ($368 / $237)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 92%
Consistent
8/10 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,491,479$-116Vol: $9,739
🏛️ POLITICS#1,360,032$-18Vol: $1,331
💰 FINANCE#184,368$0Vol: $33

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-133
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,103
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
42
total markets
Trades
47B / 12S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$20
Vol: $0
Month
$-8
Vol: $0
All Time
$-133
Vol: $11,103

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
93%
37W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$-133
Win Rate
93%
37W / 3L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-142

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $266 (1.9951288968824943% of PnL)

Top Winners

Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$113
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$93
Canton FDV above $14B one day after launch?$60
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$11
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$8
Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$6
Canton FDV above $1B one day after launch?$5
Canton FDV above $10B one day after launch?$2
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$2
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31?$1

Top Losers

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-368
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$-41
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.091
Sortino
-0.052
HHI
687
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.024
Kelly %
66.2%
Half-Kelly
33.1%
Top-1 market
13.8%
Top-5 markets
53.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
43.3m
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 1.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.25
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)4.3%
High (>55c)93.6%

Sessions

#12
10/28/2025, 10:27:29 PM4 trades$1,1641 min
2/11/2026, 8:29:59 PM2 trades$8523 min
2/4/2026, 3:12:34 PM2 trades$7932 min
11/29/2025, 5:42:17 PM19 trades$6907 min
11/10/2025, 12:44:55 AM3 trades$6753 min
10/30/2025, 2:10:43 PM1 trades$6740 min
10/28/2025, 3:16:19 PM1 trades$6000 min
3/6/2026, 8:27:15 PM1 trades$4390 min
2/26/2026, 4:21:46 PM1 trades$4390 min
12/16/2025, 10:34:49 PM10 trades$3512 min
6/30/2026, 1:54:05 PM7 trades$3131 min
1/12/2026, 6:16:21 PM1 trades$2420 min
12/12/2025, 5:54:30 PM1 trades$1600 min
1/7/2026, 7:31:35 PM1 trades$720 min
12/30/2025, 9:02:21 AM1 trades$580 min
12/13/2025, 7:45:49 PM1 trades$500 min
12/29/2025, 2:21:03 PM1 trades$410 min
1/12/2026, 4:17:21 PM1 trades$270 min
1/12/2026, 4:25:33 PM1 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-28
10-30
11-10
11-29
12-16
12-29
12-30
01-12
02-11
02-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M4.3 / H93.6