@carlmagnuses

#3,058,42111

0xe95f74d1457af3376e98b962739b09fcef521a57

~91d· 106 markets · 583 tradesVol: $580,474 @TitoMarchev2026-08-05 15:51:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

30% (31/105)0/20
0.78x (win $29,323 / loss $37,482)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2020/15
Sortino -1.3740/10
$-0.0723 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 927 (105 markets)7.9/10
23/55 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 835% of peak ($16,055 / $1,923)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20
Whale
$112,817 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
CRYPTO#13,905$3,280Vol: $260,690
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,368$-18,503Vol: $239,361
SPORTS#43,416$801Vol: $36,281
💰 FINANCE#1,007$5,452Vol: $21,694
🎭 CULTURE#802,925$-311Vol: $21,227

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,297
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$580,474
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
106
total markets
Trades
307B / 276S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~91d

Periods

#2
Month
$-10
Vol: $0
All Time
$-9,297
Vol: $580,474

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
30%
31W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$-9,297
Win Rate
30%
31W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$946
Avg Loss
$-513

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,253 (1.3179280220199827% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum all time high in 2024?$5,403
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 18?$4,833
Will Solana hit $300 by January 31, 2025?$2,016
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 4?$2,010
Will Ethereum hit $4,250 by January 31, 2025?$1,865
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$1,593
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$1,360
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 13?$1,261
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $118,000 on October 13?$1,180
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$1,079

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$-13,713
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$-4,791
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 26?$-2,296
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by Sunday?$-2,045
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 30?$-1,881
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$-1,368
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 4-10?$-923
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in June 2026?$-652
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 26?$-600
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$-591

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.062
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
981
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.071
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.7%
Top-5 markets
61.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 100s — normal for humanCV 3.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.6%
Mid (20-55c)20.8%
High (>55c)34.5%

Sessions

#12
1/29/2025, 9:54:43 AM1 trades$15,3000 min
12/2/2024, 11:19:16 PM4 trades$11,5615 min
12/7/2024, 10:32:35 PM5 trades$7,6445 min
11/27/2024, 2:34:12 PM1 trades$7,3680 min
11/25/2025, 3:45:45 PM4 trades$6,5897 min
3/9/2025, 1:59:55 PM1 trades$6,2190 min
2/2/2025, 1:31:36 PM3 trades$5,9037 min
1/6/2025, 2:06:41 AM1 trades$5,8490 min
10/17/2025, 7:52:05 PM3 trades$5,8162 min
11/27/2024, 11:41:39 AM15 trades$4,9338 min
1/10/2025, 10:42:01 AM2 trades$4,7714 min
10/9/2025, 11:34:18 AM1 trades$4,5860 min
3/28/2025, 9:47:44 PM1 trades$3,9200 min
11/25/2025, 3:25:43 PM9 trades$3,4003 min
11/25/2025, 3:34:23 PM12 trades$3,4002 min
10/20/2025, 9:12:05 AM5 trades$3,2063 min
2/28/2025, 11:10:42 PM1 trades$3,1760 min
12/6/2024, 1:26:58 PM2 trades$3,1031 min
2/3/2025, 1:21:49 PM2 trades$2,9681 min
11/29/2024, 9:14:00 PM1 trades$2,9150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-27
12-09
10-09
10-30
11-21
05-05
06-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.74/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.6 / M20.8 / H34.5