cashmusk

@cashmusk

#108,28184

0xdf4a1557e64c8c4dfc305f45764c6c3487bb1b1b

~112d· 142 markets · 552 tradesVol: $56,698 @vonjean412026-08-06 07:54:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (117/136)20/20
2.71x (win $977 / loss $361)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.73015/15
Sortino 3.71010/10
$+0.0203 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 320 (136 markets)10/10
76/83 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 57% of peak ($348 / $616)2.7/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+581
Consistent
76/83 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#67,679$90Vol: $20,914
CRYPTO#1,560,278$-276Vol: $19,202
🌤️ WEATHER#11,186$43Vol: $11,511
SPORTS#47,008$713Vol: $3,758
🎭 CULTURE#100,755$4Vol: $497
💰 FINANCE#89,523$3Vol: $288
📈 ECONOMICS#166,900$0Vol: $283
💻 TECH#39,250$1Vol: $45

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$581
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$56,698
Total Redeem
$46
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
142
total markets
Trades
217B / 335S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~112d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $368
Month
$4
Vol: $368
All Time
$581
Vol: $56,698

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
117W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$581
Win Rate
86%
117W / 19L
Profit Factor
2.71x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $711 (1.2244883897195618% of PnL)

Top Winners

Tigers vs. Mariners$660
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$23
Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?$19
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$19
Will there be exactly 12 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$16
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?$15
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$13
Will João Pedro be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad list?$13
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$11

Top Losers

Will Solana reach $240 September 29-October 5?$-348
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 155-214$-8
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.090
Sortino
0.043
HHI
275
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
27.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
60%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 1.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)60% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.06
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)4.6%
High (>55c)93.1%

Sessions

#12
3/5/2025, 8:42:39 PM1 trades$2,0160 min
5/15/2026, 1:07:25 PM26 trades$1,81114 min
3/6/2025, 1:15:37 AM167 trades$1,75756 min
3/8/2025, 2:23:55 AM2 trades$1,6954 min
5/19/2026, 2:27:34 AM12 trades$1,2797 min
5/14/2026, 12:56:16 PM8 trades$1,2571 min
4/2/2026, 9:56:07 AM4 trades$1,2381 min
6/3/2026, 3:31:30 AM9 trades$1,1953 min
3/8/2025, 9:40:07 AM2 trades$1,0901 min
3/12/2026, 7:26:41 AM1 trades$1,0020 min
5/12/2026, 12:35:18 AM2 trades$9950 min
6/16/2026, 3:23:24 AM11 trades$9071 min
11/21/2025, 2:38:47 AM2 trades$8953 min
5/10/2026, 12:55:16 PM2 trades$8930 min
5/13/2026, 1:16:27 AM3 trades$7230 min
5/13/2026, 1:25:36 AM7 trades$6841 min
5/16/2026, 3:32:00 AM14 trades$6364 min
10/31/2025, 5:00:01 AM1 trades$6090 min
10/19/2025, 3:15:53 PM1 trades$6000 min
6/15/2026, 2:54:15 PM1 trades$5360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-18
03-13
05-07
09-12
12-10
04-12
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M4.6 / H93.1