@casus
#10,555910x058327e8fec1fdf218c4c2c20f3a30db18887dd4
~116d· 586 markets · 3930 tradesVol: $1,212,8632026-08-04 16:21:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
97% (565/585)20/20
5.18x (win $14,307 / loss $2,759)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.13315/15
Sortino 8.54110/10
$+0.0207 per $1 invested1/10
HHI 70 (585 markets)10/10
108/114 profitable days (95%)10/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($2,417 / $11,548)9.8/10
Badges
9Sniper
Win rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+14,436
DCA Master
Avg 6.7 entries/market
Whale
$557,102 invested
Consistent
108/114 profitable days
High Roller
$2,401/day
Cool Head
Max DD 21%
Win Streak
93 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🌤️ WEATHER#196$9,680Vol: $994,032
🎭 CULTURE#9,186$392Vol: $83,909
💰 FINANCE#1,776$2,921Vol: $68,047
₿ CRYPTO#46,302$429Vol: $21,562
📈 ECONOMICS#7,473$239Vol: $20,209
💻 TECH#12,554$22Vol: $4,938
🏛️ POLITICS#1,017,273$-2Vol: $1,240
⚽ SPORTS#749,027$-0Vol: $4
Overview
#1Net PnL
$14,436
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,212,863
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
586
total markets
Trades
1371B / 2559S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~116d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$14,436
Vol: $1,212,863
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
97%
565W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$14,436
Win Rate
97%
565W / 20L
Profit Factor
5.18x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-276
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,258 (0.29498267199679695% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will there be at least 1775 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?$2,292
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?$1,309
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 800k?$658
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 11?$647
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 85 and 90?$449
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$390
Major Space Weather event this week? (March 22-28)$380
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?$363
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 15 be between 80 and 85?$312
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 1?$269
Top Losers
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?$-2,138
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 80 and 90?$-486
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?$-62
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in May?$-55
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.215
Sortino
0.085
HHI
58
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
52.9%
Half-Kelly
26.5%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
8.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
16.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.9
Bot Detection
#625
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active2.5 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.71
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)1%
High (>55c)98.5%
Sessions
#122/16/2026, 4:09:39 AM18 trades$21,5610 min
4/24/2026, 1:39:48 PM33 trades$15,2617 min
4/2/2026, 1:25:31 PM84 trades$14,8060 min
4/1/2026, 7:10:43 AM34 trades$14,4772 min
2/16/2026, 4:34:23 AM24 trades$14,2335 min
3/17/2026, 4:55:57 AM9 trades$14,0731 min
3/14/2026, 2:54:57 PM43 trades$14,00725 min
3/17/2026, 4:10:41 AM2 trades$14,0070 min
3/11/2026, 11:39:13 PM50 trades$13,3691 min
3/15/2026, 5:44:35 PM3 trades$12,5310 min
2/7/2026, 6:27:11 PM8 trades$12,2822 min
3/9/2026, 12:08:07 AM30 trades$11,99223 min
3/12/2026, 4:04:37 AM22 trades$11,7654 min
5/22/2026, 1:25:55 PM38 trades$11,3742 min
2/16/2026, 3:42:41 AM15 trades$11,0830 min
4/24/2026, 3:01:40 PM10 trades$10,6773 min
3/17/2026, 6:53:41 PM11 trades$10,3510 min
3/28/2026, 5:53:29 PM1 trades$10,0110 min
3/28/2026, 4:54:33 PM1 trades$10,0010 min
4/23/2026, 8:09:32 PM30 trades$9,2130 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-05
02-01
02-21
03-12
04-01
05-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
52% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
65.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M1 / H98.5