ceedos

@ceedos

#3,001,06439

0x1043916bef25d493e2ad0726be56ba56d74113cc

~71d· 109 markets · 469 tradesVol: $287,366 @c2cryptoc22026-08-04 22:03:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

39
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (58/86)18.7/20
0.72x (win $2,227 / loss $3,092)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2600/15
Sortino -1.4710/10
$-0.0241 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 264 (86 markets)10/10
31/43 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 2284% of peak ($2,493 / $109)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Consistent
31/43 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,841$-2,100Vol: $251,902
CRYPTO#1,552,032$-250Vol: $15,875
📈 ECONOMICS#8,019$211Vol: $7,609
SPORTS#1,453,540$-19Vol: $6,941
🎭 CULTURE#696,786$-11Vol: $3,202
💻 TECH#16,750$12Vol: $1,426
💰 FINANCE#35,759$26Vol: $306
📢 MENTIONS#29,545$3Vol: $105

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,128
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$287,366
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
109
total markets
Trades
231B / 238S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~71d

Periods

#2
Today
$-38
Vol: $0
Week
$-24
Vol: $0
Month
$15
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,128
Vol: $287,366

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
58W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$-2,128
Win Rate
67%
58W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-147

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,309 (0.6151789783271553% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$998
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$201
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$110
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$72
Kash Patel out by April 30?$64
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$54
Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?$51
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$45
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44

Top Losers

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$-1,300
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$-970
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-223
Government shutdown on Saturday?$-139
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-64
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$-58
Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in June?$-58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-51
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.065
Sortino
-0.043
HHI
187
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
20.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
48.2m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.05
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)10%
High (>55c)81.8%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 4:58:28 PM44 trades$3,97615 min
1/26/2026, 9:32:23 PM4 trades$3,6666 min
12/5/2025, 11:23:47 PM5 trades$3,2233 min
1/11/2026, 9:20:20 PM4 trades$2,3011 min
12/25/2025, 5:23:41 PM4 trades$2,0291 min
11/24/2025, 10:43:39 PM3 trades$1,7192 min
2/23/2026, 7:07:38 PM2 trades$1,6940 min
7/29/2026, 5:52:03 PM9 trades$1,6541 min
2/10/2026, 2:38:41 AM7 trades$1,6071 min
6/10/2026, 10:19:03 PM30 trades$1,4953 min
11/18/2025, 1:37:13 AM3 trades$1,4003 min
3/24/2026, 1:44:49 PM5 trades$1,3091 min
2/3/2026, 7:11:38 PM3 trades$1,2904 min
1/19/2026, 3:05:08 AM4 trades$1,1782 min
3/30/2026, 11:47:52 AM2 trades$1,0161 min
5/23/2026, 5:15:23 PM9 trades$1,0054 min
5/10/2026, 1:11:49 AM19 trades$9983 min
12/13/2025, 6:16:11 PM1 trades$9790 min
4/7/2026, 12:56:41 AM13 trades$9533 min
5/31/2026, 6:32:36 AM12 trades$9322 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-24
12-25
01-21
02-18
03-30
05-31
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.2 / M10 / H81.8