@cenatograma

#2,920,1483

0x9290fa782c5a3cc90cd23c9878ddaecb80ab832c

~18d· 25 markets · 108 tradesVol: $52,9002026-08-04 16:19:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (4/22)0/20
0.05x (win $60 / loss $1,309)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -14.0700/15
Sortino -11.3550/10
$-0.8580 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1942 (22 markets)2.8/10
2/12 profitable days (17%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,249 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
69% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,545,127$-145Vol: $41,391
📈 ECONOMICS#664,370$-136Vol: $6,949
⚽ SPORTS#1,684,535$-105Vol: $1,262
₿ CRYPTO#1,452,401$-88Vol: $995
💰 FINANCE#627,484$-71Vol: $874
🎭 CULTURE#798,574$-259Vol: $759
💻 TECH#251,784$-155Vol: $567

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-960
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$52,900
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
25
total markets
Trades
74B / 34S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-22
Vol: $0
All Time
$-960
Vol: $52,900

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
4W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-960
Win Rate
18%
4W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-77

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $60 (0.062322916666666665% of PnL)

Top Winners

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$30
Iran leadership change by March 31?$28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$1

Top Losers

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$-400
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?$-234
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-160
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?$-140
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$-87
Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?$-50
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?$-50
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$-38
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$-34
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.705
Sortino
-0.697
HHI
1443
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.845
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.5%
Top-5 markets
74.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
48
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 452s — normal for humanCV 1.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)68.9%
Mid (20-55c)14.9%
High (>55c)16.2%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 9:43:20 PM3 trades$3,1110 min
4/14/2026, 1:36:21 AM10 trades$1,6521 min
5/29/2026, 6:59:21 PM3 trades$3040 min
2/5/2026, 12:25:35 AM2 trades$2502 min
2/4/2026, 12:45:32 AM19 trades$14412 min
2/7/2026, 2:18:53 AM2 trades$1210 min
2/5/2026, 3:37:37 AM1 trades$1050 min
2/4/2026, 10:12:01 PM1 trades$800 min
6/1/2026, 3:03:48 PM2 trades$700 min
2/4/2026, 3:12:08 PM1 trades$600 min
2/4/2026, 4:24:59 PM1 trades$600 min
2/3/2026, 9:03:24 PM3 trades$601 min
2/7/2026, 11:42:55 AM1 trades$590 min
2/3/2026, 7:03:22 PM1 trades$500 min
2/10/2026, 8:38:29 PM1 trades$500 min
2/4/2026, 10:50:31 PM2 trades$403 min
2/4/2026, 10:25:19 PM3 trades$384 min
6/2/2026, 3:20:46 PM4 trades$383 min
2/6/2026, 1:46:01 AM1 trades$370 min
3/13/2026, 11:44:13 PM1 trades$280 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-27
02-04
02-06
02-18
04-14
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.91/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L68.9 / M14.9 / H16.2