@cerafi
#556,753750xd6f2edd2761e2808175b68aeae94bb29cec7f96f
~16d· 10 markets · 24 tradesVol: $9,7282026-08-04 19:06:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (6/9)18.3/20
2.70x (win $8 / loss $3)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.76015/15
Sortino 14.49410/10
$+0.0219 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 2866 (9 markets)0/10
6/9 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 39% of peak ($2 / $5)6.1/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+6
Lottery Player
46% entries < $0.20
Consistent
6/9 profitable days
Categories
5₿ CRYPTO#299,740$5Vol: $4,400
🏛️ POLITICS#326,310$1Vol: $2,229
📈 ECONOMICS#110,713$1Vol: $2,000
💻 TECH#190,314$-1Vol: $1,000
🎭 CULTURE#273,863$0Vol: $99
Overview
#1Net PnL
$6
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,728
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
13B / 11S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$6
Vol: $9,728
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
6W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$6
Win Rate
67%
6W / 3L
Profit Factor
2.7x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8 (1.4010507880910683% of PnL)
Top Winners
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$5
Will the Hungarian Socialist Party (MSZP) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$2
Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?$1
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$0
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$0
Top Losers
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-2
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.284
Sortino
0.790
HHI
2670
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.4%
Top-5 markets
93%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
13.4h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 61740s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.67
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)46.2%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)46.2%
Sessions
#1212/15/2025, 12:15:11 AM1 trades$810 min
12/10/2025, 12:10:40 AM1 trades$810 min
11/29/2025, 1:53:49 PM1 trades$420 min
11/28/2025, 2:59:45 PM1 trades$370 min
12/23/2025, 2:18:57 AM1 trades$200 min
12/27/2025, 4:50:49 AM1 trades$190 min
5/19/2026, 8:31:59 AM4 trades$180 min
2/11/2026, 12:52:03 PM1 trades$150 min
2/7/2026, 2:07:05 PM2 trades$130 min
11/27/2025, 9:50:45 PM1 trades$20 min
1/13/2026, 9:32:12 PM1 trades$20 min
4/7/2026, 9:47:19 AM1 trades$20 min
12/6/2025, 12:20:45 AM1 trades$10 min
1/12/2026, 7:49:59 PM1 trades$10 min
3/16/2026, 11:12:13 AM2 trades$10 min
6/27/2026, 9:35:22 PM4 trades$00 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-27
11-29
12-06
12-10
12-27
01-13
04-07
05-19
06-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.67/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.2 / M7.7 / H46.2