@cerco
400x25a74e4d0795b842a4e8e934620781e3c5f48b7c
~210d· 733 markets · 7136 trades2026-08-05 00:13:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
72% (512/716)20/20
0.46x (win $47,531 / loss $103,886)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9890/15
Sortino -2.0350/10
$-0.0471 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 116 (716 markets)10/10
117/168 profitable days (70%)9.9/10
Max DD 2259% of peak ($62,581 / $2,770)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 72%
DCA Master
Avg 11.3 entries/market
Whale
$1,196,454 invested
Consistent
117/168 profitable days
High Roller
$1,864/day
Win Streak
20 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-25,447
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,196,454
Total Redeem
$44,252
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
733
total markets
Trades
2761B / 4375S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~210d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
72%
512W / 204L events
Realized PnL
$-25,447
Win Rate
72%
512W / 204L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-611
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,037 (0.47303978492975673% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$7,858
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-01-23?$2,135
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$2,045
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$1,897
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$1,471
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$1,337
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-19?$1,254
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?$1,238
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026? $1,079
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$928
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-32,448
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?$-13,960
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-24?$-10,055
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-8,575
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$-7,289
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-24?$-6,110
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?$-2,257
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-19?$-1,980
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET$-1,586
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 20?$-1,538
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.104
Sortino
-0.060
HHI
176
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
16%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
11.1
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.8m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 82s — normal for humanCV 3.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.2%
Mid (20-55c)29.2%
High (>55c)65.6%
Sessions
#121/22/2026, 8:36:50 PM8 trades$48,0201 min
1/23/2026, 5:34:16 AM10 trades$24,7984 min
1/23/2026, 6:07:06 PM20 trades$24,3750 min
1/22/2026, 3:17:56 AM24 trades$23,5851 min
1/21/2026, 8:11:22 PM3 trades$22,8492 min
1/20/2026, 7:00:56 PM3 trades$22,6260 min
1/22/2026, 7:36:36 PM3 trades$22,0230 min
4/12/2026, 7:32:33 PM8 trades$21,7374 min
1/18/2026, 5:02:16 PM8 trades$21,5787 min
1/18/2026, 4:26:52 PM5 trades$21,3845 min
1/18/2026, 3:10:28 AM1 trades$20,9100 min
1/17/2026, 8:43:06 PM1 trades$20,8020 min
1/24/2026, 3:03:58 PM4 trades$20,3283 min
1/17/2026, 7:33:28 PM1 trades$19,9800 min
1/17/2026, 7:22:36 PM13 trades$19,7771 min
1/20/2026, 7:27:36 PM1 trades$19,3920 min
1/14/2026, 3:04:22 AM4 trades$18,9930 min
1/17/2026, 4:48:54 PM1 trades$18,9810 min
1/12/2026, 9:27:43 PM1 trades$18,9610 min
1/17/2026, 2:21:20 PM5 trades$18,8101 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
01-01
02-15
03-27
05-08
06-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 149 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.2 / M29.2 / H65.6