@cesiano

#630,76033

0xe013b3184c2cd45372283114945fbae5375ad356

~140d· 245 markets · 463 tradesVol: $4,0972026-08-05 04:26:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (140/237)14.5/20
0.73x (win $85 / loss $118)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3780/15
Sortino -1.4890/10
$-0.0144 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 140 (237 markets)10/10
82/126 profitable days (65%)8.8/10
Max DD 5962% of peak ($48 / $1)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+3
Consistent
82/126 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#28,691$6Vol: $1,692
SPORTS#348,170$4Vol: $1,141
🎭 CULTURE#694,295$-11Vol: $656
🏛️ POLITICS#217,893$5Vol: $155
📈 ECONOMICS#158,230$0Vol: $123
💻 TECH#205,225$-2Vol: $71
CRYPTO#795,809$-0Vol: $39
💰 FINANCE#431,612$-1Vol: $29
📢 MENTIONS#88,691$-1Vol: $22

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,097
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
245
total markets
Trades
308B / 155S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~140d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$3
Vol: $4,097

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
140W / 97L events
Realized PnL
$3
Win Rate
59%
140W / 97L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20 (7.317518248175181% of PnL)

Top Winners

ParenseDeManos: Constanza Romero vs Carolina Müller$7
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?$7
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$4
Will Oscar Piastri win the Sprint at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?$4
Will Rauw Alejandro perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$3
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?$3
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?$3
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?$3
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulp$2

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 20?$-33
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-4
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?$-4
Will McLaren have the highest constructor score at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix?$-4
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-3
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$-3
Will Battlefield 6 be the #1 searched game on Google this year?$-2
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group B$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.072
Sortino
-0.047
HHI
124
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
11.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 5140s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.7%
Mid (20-55c)21.8%
High (>55c)54.5%

Sessions

#12
5/10/2026, 11:04:28 PM4 trades$760 min
5/12/2026, 11:42:11 PM3 trades$760 min
5/13/2026, 10:22:45 PM2 trades$760 min
5/2/2026, 9:53:18 PM2 trades$740 min
4/14/2026, 9:42:36 PM2 trades$740 min
5/18/2026, 9:06:58 PM2 trades$730 min
5/1/2026, 1:12:38 AM2 trades$720 min
5/10/2026, 12:05:30 AM2 trades$720 min
4/28/2026, 10:16:00 PM2 trades$700 min
7/25/2026, 9:38:36 PM3 trades$660 min
6/28/2026, 2:36:16 PM4 trades$611 min
2/22/2026, 7:53:28 PM4 trades$506 min
5/28/2026, 11:30:56 PM8 trades$381 min
5/20/2026, 7:40:44 PM2 trades$380 min
5/1/2026, 1:55:48 PM2 trades$370 min
5/1/2026, 10:49:44 PM2 trades$370 min
5/3/2026, 6:40:06 PM2 trades$370 min
5/6/2026, 1:42:48 AM2 trades$370 min
4/24/2026, 10:26:24 PM2 trades$360 min
4/25/2026, 9:14:06 PM2 trades$360 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
11-17
12-16
01-22
02-26
05-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 172 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
10% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.7 / M21.8 / H54.5