@cfredss

#2,578,06130

0x26db837886296af1959f6085d1be1479a5f563ea

~36d· 70 markets · 105 tradesVol: $33,3082026-08-04 21:50:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

86% (60/70)20/20
0.04x (win $4 / loss $111)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4090/15
Sortino -3.3560/10
$-0.0145 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2537 (70 markets)0/10
27/34 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($110 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 86%
Consistent
27/34 profitable days
Win Streak
20 wins in a row

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#633,752$-105Vol: $14,860
🏛️ POLITICS#1,017,640$-2Vol: $9,430
📈 ECONOMICS#456,650$-1Vol: $3,567
⚽ SPORTS#928,180$-1Vol: $3,235
₿ CRYPTO#562,630$0Vol: $1,661
🌤️ WEATHER#63,770$1Vol: $480
🎭 CULTURE#243,837$0Vol: $46
💻 TECH#110,079$0Vol: $21

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-108
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,308
Total Redeem
$291
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
80B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-108
Vol: $33,308

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
86%
60W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-108
Win Rate
86%
60W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-19

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.009375290077044462% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 40°C on May 13?$0
Will BNB dip to $300 in May?$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 6?$0
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?$0
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?$0
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on April 28?$0
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$0
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?$0
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 23?$0

Top Losers

Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024?$-105
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? $-3
Ethereum all time high by March 31?$-1
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October meeting?$-1
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-1
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.176
Sortino
-0.054
HHI
2080
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
40.7%
Top-5 markets
80.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 2.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours14/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)98.8%

Sessions

#12
3/21/2025, 4:11:13 PM11 trades$6,05511 min
10/14/2025, 5:26:33 AM6 trades$4,8763 min
3/21/2025, 4:27:37 PM5 trades$1,0483 min
3/20/2026, 2:23:09 PM3 trades$1434 min
12/30/2024, 4:33:58 AM5 trades$1361 min
5/5/2026, 11:48:40 AM6 trades$1342 min
4/27/2026, 7:10:24 AM13 trades$1284 min
5/12/2026, 6:20:17 AM4 trades$931 min
6/23/2026, 1:29:07 PM4 trades$882 min
3/25/2026, 7:40:59 AM2 trades$831 min
4/29/2025, 4:46:25 PM2 trades$720 min
4/23/2026, 2:55:52 PM6 trades$594 min
1/16/2026, 9:04:52 AM1 trades$570 min
10/15/2025, 4:44:15 AM2 trades$520 min
4/22/2026, 9:43:24 AM2 trades$370 min
5/8/2025, 4:54:31 AM1 trades$310 min
3/24/2025, 1:18:23 PM1 trades$300 min
4/18/2026, 2:48:56 PM2 trades$290 min
3/22/2025, 2:01:27 PM4 trades$281 min
4/9/2025, 2:38:59 AM2 trades$241 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-30
03-21
03-26
04-09
10-14
03-20
04-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M0 / H98.8