chaigoblin

@chaigoblin

#3,071,66927

0x363c8114d851c31036d7af3f2566fa4141ff900d

~47d· 436 markets · 6678 tradesVol: $646,4262026-08-04 21:04:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (248/436)13.4/20
0.58x (win $31,606 / loss $54,147)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3940/15
Sortino -2.4550/10
$-0.3784 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 372 (436 markets)10/10
21/47 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 826% of peak ($26,235 / $3,176)0/10

Badges

6
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 15.3 entries/market
Whale
$59,563 invested
High Roller
$1,045/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,676,211$-39,654Vol: $587,607
SPORTS#1,874,699$-6,945Vol: $55,248
🎭 CULTURE#797,806$-244Vol: $3,571

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-46,843
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$646,426
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
436
total markets
Trades
1736B / 4942S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$253
Vol: $5,983
Week
$1,201
Vol: $31,144
Month
$1,252
Vol: $31,195
All Time
$-46,843
Vol: $646,426

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
248W / 188L events
Realized PnL
$-46,843
Win Rate
57%
248W / 188L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$127
Avg Loss
$-304

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,227 (0.23967211378927258% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$5,638
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$3,406
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$2,183
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$1,455
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1,451
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1,218
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$1,135
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1,076
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$662
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$661

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$-23,433
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$-3,400
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$-3,240
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$-2,451
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9?$-2,382
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$-1,782
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$-1,601
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9?$-1,394
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-1,262
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$-936

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.124
Sortino
-0.095
HHI
603
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.378
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.1%
Top-5 markets
43.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
117.2
Very active
Markets / Day
7.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
33.4m
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.50
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
75.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 4.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock117 trades/day — automation7.6 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.32
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.6%
Mid (20-55c)48.8%
High (>55c)46.6%

Sessions

#12
7/9/2026, 5:05:16 AM502 trades$14,4540 min
7/9/2026, 4:30:17 PM250 trades$12,0848 min
7/9/2026, 8:48:01 AM7 trades$7,7170 min
7/8/2026, 10:30:02 PM285 trades$7,1234 min
7/12/2026, 3:13:34 AM4 trades$5,4740 min
7/9/2026, 6:17:40 AM16 trades$4,7810 min
7/11/2026, 10:19:32 PM2 trades$4,3590 min
7/7/2026, 4:34:56 AM42 trades$3,5860 min
7/9/2026, 8:05:13 AM117 trades$2,6405 min
7/7/2026, 7:14:44 PM116 trades$2,3571 min
7/2/2026, 6:35:26 PM94 trades$2,3142 min
7/9/2026, 5:32:55 AM149 trades$2,1484 min
7/9/2026, 5:48:26 AM187 trades$1,9443 min
7/9/2026, 6:44:32 AM61 trades$1,8214 min
7/11/2026, 12:19:52 AM86 trades$1,4531 min
6/18/2026, 4:34:25 AM246 trades$1,26256 min
7/8/2026, 9:55:02 PM57 trades$1,2420 min
7/11/2026, 12:28:55 AM6 trades$1,2290 min
7/9/2026, 7:15:10 AM31 trades$1,2204 min
7/10/2026, 11:50:41 PM7 trades$1,1900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-22
07-02
07-10
07-17
07-24
07-31
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.32/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.6 / M48.8 / H46.6