chang1130

@chang1130

#30,79583

0x5a7c30afbe4c8bc49b2057f030ab068a91e6d7b8

~61d· 375 markets · 4421 tradesVol: $324,8642026-08-04 21:49:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (238/375)16.7/20
1.71x (win $8,046 / loss $4,700)11.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.80015/15
Sortino 10.13610/10
$+0.0370 per $1 invested1.8/10
HHI 76 (375 markets)10/10
41/60 profitable days (68%)9.6/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($901 / $3,347)8.6/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+3,938
DCA Master
Avg 11.8 entries/market
Whale
$90,543 invested
Consistent
41/60 profitable days
High Roller
$1,029/day
Cool Head
Max DD 27%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#517$3,927Vol: $324,644
SPORTS#274,692$11Vol: $220

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,938
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$324,864
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
375
total markets
Trades
1826B / 2595S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~61d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
238W / 137L events
Realized PnL
$3,938
Win Rate
63%
238W / 137L
Profit Factor
1.71x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,092 (0.27723762826258636% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 20?$367
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 16?$366
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13?$359
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?$298
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?$281
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?$246
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?$246
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 12?$167
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 8?$142
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 16?$141

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 22?$-495
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?$-458
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?$-237
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 21?$-212
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 16?$-199
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?$-171
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?$-144
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?$-134
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 5?$-130
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 25?$-112

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.301
Sortino
0.365
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
11.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.2
Very active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.3m
between trades
Night Trading
61%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 129s — normal for humanCV 2.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)61% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity50 trades/day — mass trading4.3 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.8
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)74.6%

Sessions

#12
5/13/2026, 2:59:23 AM21 trades$1,9216 min
5/13/2026, 6:57:56 AM24 trades$1,61214 min
7/7/2026, 3:35:28 AM1 trades$1,5710 min
6/8/2026, 1:26:58 AM15 trades$1,5535 min
7/7/2026, 3:24:46 AM12 trades$1,5395 min
7/20/2026, 2:21:21 AM4 trades$1,4390 min
5/15/2026, 4:46:39 AM6 trades$1,3431 min
6/21/2026, 12:56:08 AM35 trades$1,2566 min
6/13/2026, 12:30:58 AM21 trades$1,17512 min
6/13/2026, 3:10:19 AM10 trades$1,1748 min
7/7/2026, 3:49:38 AM25 trades$1,1738 min
6/24/2026, 2:06:22 AM3 trades$1,0821 min
6/7/2026, 5:52:52 AM38 trades$1,06020 min
7/9/2026, 7:27:23 AM19 trades$1,0435 min
6/6/2026, 5:57:22 AM30 trades$99011 min
6/6/2026, 6:20:18 AM28 trades$98012 min
7/7/2026, 4:05:20 AM2 trades$9750 min
5/28/2026, 12:52:04 AM2 trades$9310 min
6/6/2026, 3:47:19 AM40 trades$93022 min
6/24/2026, 1:21:49 AM6 trades$9110 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
05-06
05-16
06-12
06-22
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
58.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.8/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.9 / M12.5 / H74.6