chenge0131

@chenge0131

#2,793,30823

0x1e4893d382bcf70a0805fc59cdedf8eab7009446

~31d· 600 markets · 981 tradesVol: $13,5322026-08-05 03:16:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (246/574)6.4/20
0.95x (win $1,495 / loss $1,574)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5720/15
Sortino -1.0250/10
$-0.0177 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 107 (574 markets)10/10
13/26 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 2738% of peak ($555 / $20)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
83% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,554,722$-258Vol: $9,290
🏛️ POLITICS#1,347,293$-16Vol: $1,742
💰 FINANCE#594,872$-20Vol: $756
📈 ECONOMICS#193,035$0Vol: $414
SPORTS#1,506,709$-27Vol: $395
🌤️ WEATHER#41,408$2Vol: $121

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-324
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,532
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
600
total markets
Trades
777B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-324
Vol: $13,532

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
246W / 328L events
Realized PnL
$-324
Win Rate
43%
246W / 328L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $541 (1.6700827262625015% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$413
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$84
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$33
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$30
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$24
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$20

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-147
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?$-85
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-62
Will T1 win MSI 2026?$-51
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$-45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET$-36
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-34
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$-33
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$-33
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$-22

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.029
Sortino
-0.055
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.025
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
14.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.9m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 400s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.6%
Mid (20-55c)79.8%
High (>55c)16.6%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 10:19:36 AM10 trades$2789 min
6/28/2026, 3:59:35 PM11 trades$2046 min
6/18/2026, 9:20:38 AM16 trades$1045 min
6/19/2026, 4:30:19 PM16 trades$1016 min
2/24/2026, 6:39:42 PM3 trades$971 min
6/16/2026, 3:54:13 PM10 trades$8510 min
6/23/2026, 10:11:41 AM6 trades$786 min
6/18/2026, 2:11:47 PM2 trades$751 min
6/17/2026, 4:09:13 PM16 trades$698 min
2/24/2026, 4:05:54 PM8 trades$6915 min
2/27/2026, 5:09:54 AM2 trades$675 min
2/25/2026, 4:55:06 PM7 trades$6619 min
3/18/2026, 6:44:09 AM7 trades$6615 min
3/12/2026, 10:15:15 AM5 trades$598 min
6/19/2026, 10:04:19 AM4 trades$561 min
3/12/2026, 2:15:01 PM2 trades$535 min
2/26/2026, 6:24:36 PM2 trades$515 min
2/26/2026, 10:59:48 AM2 trades$495 min
2/24/2026, 4:37:10 PM11 trades$483 min
6/22/2026, 4:10:23 AM4 trades$471 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
02-25
03-11
03-15
03-19
06-19
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 114 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.6 / M79.8 / H16.6