@chiarino

#160,72269

0xff8ddc6159b69ed7d5402b8986136daec443db0b

~81d· 76 markets · 202 tradesVol: $25,9332026-08-04 18:10:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (50/66)20/20
1.19x (win $705 / loss $594)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.81815/15
Sortino 1.00310/10
$+0.0068 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 659 (66 markets)9.2/10
29/42 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 358% of peak ($400 / $112)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+241
Consistent
29/42 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#40,636$572Vol: $18,429
🏛️ POLITICS#1,578,871$-292Vol: $4,906
💰 FINANCE#612,834$-39Vol: $1,872
📈 ECONOMICS#542,089$-3Vol: $281
🎭 CULTURE#100,259$4Vol: $65
⚽ SPORTS#458,321$1Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$241
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,933
Total Redeem
$51
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
129B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~81d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$43
Vol: $0
All Time
$241
Vol: $25,933

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
50W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$241
Win Rate
76%
50W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.19x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $317 (1.3159162651603256% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$107
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31? $106
Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$103
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?$53
BTC above $28,000 at end of August?$40
Will Ethereum hit $2k or $3k first?$39
Tether Insolvent in 2024?$26
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $21
Will Zcash reach $600 by December 31, 2026?$21
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?$20

Top Losers

US government shutdown by October 1?$-300
Pump.fun airdrop in Q3 2025?$-100
Hyperliquid exploit before February?$-64
Rabby airdrop in Q1 2025?$-50
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023?$-20
ETH above $2,000 at end of September?$-15
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-10
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?$-10
Solana all time high in Q2?$-5
Will Messi win Ballon d'Or?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.042
Sortino
0.032
HHI
335
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
33.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 163s — normal for humanCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.03
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)89.9%

Sessions

#12
11/15/2025, 12:30:50 PM4 trades$2,1802 min
2/22/2025, 3:32:25 PM1 trades$1,6860 min
2/27/2025, 11:22:17 PM1 trades$1,6860 min
1/11/2025, 6:07:25 PM2 trades$1,1001 min
10/3/2025, 12:24:11 PM5 trades$1,0506 min
12/8/2025, 3:20:37 PM2 trades$1,0191 min
8/21/2024, 10:28:51 PM3 trades$1,0012 min
2/2/2026, 2:53:32 PM7 trades$9608 min
3/12/2026, 5:35:53 PM2 trades$8331 min
6/19/2026, 10:50:04 AM13 trades$6970 min
10/5/2025, 2:26:03 AM2 trades$5770 min
8/21/2024, 10:02:43 PM1 trades$5000 min
1/22/2026, 10:14:16 PM3 trades$4243 min
2/4/2026, 9:10:18 AM2 trades$4001 min
6/19/2026, 10:33:40 AM8 trades$3230 min
3/27/2025, 9:40:50 AM1 trades$3000 min
9/5/2025, 4:41:34 PM1 trades$3000 min
10/3/2025, 6:04:05 PM1 trades$2610 min
7/10/2025, 1:59:56 PM1 trades$2540 min
12/16/2024, 2:04:12 PM2 trades$2541 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-15
01-14
08-21
01-02
07-11
01-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 56 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.03/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7 / M3.1 / H89.9