chimpcap

@chimpcap

#3,073,0205

0xdc4ccd0abc76fe8359baaf2acc0db8d275cd685d

~11d· 13 markets · 139 tradesVol: $606,2572026-08-04 22:38:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (1/13)0/20
0.17x (win $12,639 / loss $76,597)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.2860/15
Sortino -10.3070/10
$-0.7528 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1511 (13 markets)4.9/10
1/11 profitable days (9%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($63,958 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Whale
$84,965 invested

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,979$-14,901Vol: $229,036
⚽ SPORTS#1,879,668$-15,528Vol: $155,512
🎭 CULTURE#816,925$-14,794Vol: $154,528
📢 MENTIONS#176,943$-24,500Vol: $51,951
₿ CRYPTO#1,437,419$-76Vol: $15,230

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-69,799
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$606,257
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
13
total markets
Trades
49B / 90S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
1W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$-69,799
Win Rate
8%
1W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$12,639
Avg Loss
$-6,383

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,639 (0.1810791244973602% of PnL)

Top Winners

Florida vs. Houston$12,639

Top Losers

Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?$-24,500
Duke vs. Syracuse$-12,035
US military action against Iran before July?$-9,994
Alabama vs. Georgia$-9,866
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-5,130
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$-4,800
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$-3,707
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)$-2,498
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils$-1,805
Lakers vs. Celtics$-1,500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.563
Sortino
-0.664
HHI
1536
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.752
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.8%
Top-5 markets
78.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 22s — normal for humanCV 2.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.7%
Mid (20-55c)63.3%
High (>55c)2%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 10:59:59 PM33 trades$31,4880 min
1/20/2025, 4:34:19 AM4 trades$24,5001 min
4/8/2025, 3:23:38 AM1 trades$22,6260 min
6/1/2026, 10:50:00 PM17 trades$14,9330 min
9/27/2025, 6:45:34 AM3 trades$12,0351 min
7/6/2026, 11:45:28 PM18 trades$10,4750 min
6/18/2025, 2:57:28 PM1 trades$9,9940 min
4/8/2025, 2:00:41 AM1 trades$9,9870 min
9/27/2025, 5:24:08 PM8 trades$5,7673 min
2/20/2026, 5:28:00 PM1 trades$5,1300 min
9/27/2025, 4:54:16 PM13 trades$4,0990 min
7/7/2025, 11:42:49 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
3/8/2026, 3:59:11 AM1 trades$2,4980 min
3/26/2026, 7:56:01 PM1 trades$1,8050 min
7/7/2025, 11:35:43 PM1 trades$1,8000 min
3/8/2025, 9:19:29 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
7/6/2026, 11:21:11 PM25 trades$4660 min
1/20/2025, 10:01:55 PM9 trades$4642 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-20
03-08
04-08
06-18
07-07
09-27
02-20
03-08
03-26
06-01
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.7 / M63.3 / H2