@cisworker

#155,0472

0x45b71f4807013c8bde1298936f13f088a12e2ddc

~12d· 44 markets · 263 tradesVol: $117,7482026-08-04 19:43:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (13/41)0.9/20
0.67x (win $2,008 / loss $3,000)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2040/15
Sortino -4.8880/10
$-0.4559 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6741 (41 markets)0/10
4/12 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 234% of peak ($1,962 / $839)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+262
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#152,047$14Vol: $98,730
💰 FINANCE#644,780$-260Vol: $5,819
📈 ECONOMICS#671,791$-280Vol: $5,223
🎭 CULTURE#6,160$746Vol: $3,849
⚽ SPORTS#1,576,277$-45Vol: $1,785
₿ CRYPTO#1,295,617$-25Vol: $1,140
💻 TECH#248,237$-90Vol: $186

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$262
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$117,748
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
44
total markets
Trades
57B / 206S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-11
Vol: $0
Month
$-10
Vol: $0
All Time
$262
Vol: $117,748

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
13W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$262
Win Rate
32%
13W / 28L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$154
Avg Loss
$-111

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,427 (5.451432938479175% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$976
Will Israel win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$244
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$207
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$160
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$114
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$82
Spread: France (-1.5)$58
Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$54
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$34
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$25

Top Losers

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$-800
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-482
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$-244
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$-200
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-163
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-120
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$-100
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-100
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$-83

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.211
Sortino
-0.253
HHI
1342
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.313
Kelly %
1.0%
Half-Kelly
0.5%
Top-1 market
18.4%
Top-5 markets
70.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 0.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.24
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.1%
Mid (20-55c)36.8%
High (>55c)14%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 8:18:37 PM27 trades$57,4602 min
5/28/2026, 11:23:56 PM5 trades$25,0000 min
6/9/2026, 9:55:55 AM9 trades$10,6335 min
5/29/2026, 2:56:12 PM8 trades$2,9960 min
5/23/2026, 8:38:12 PM11 trades$1,6533 min
6/7/2026, 7:08:06 PM4 trades$1,4441 min
5/23/2026, 8:46:42 PM7 trades$1,0100 min
6/16/2026, 5:02:17 PM35 trades$7147 min
5/16/2026, 5:42:25 PM23 trades$4373 min
5/16/2026, 8:10:28 PM16 trades$4362 min
5/28/2026, 6:49:46 PM15 trades$3863 min
6/8/2026, 6:08:27 AM4 trades$3813 min
5/16/2026, 10:12:23 PM7 trades$3541 min
5/22/2026, 10:33:59 PM9 trades$2100 min
5/16/2026, 10:21:54 PM5 trades$2000 min
6/9/2026, 10:58:43 PM11 trades$1851 min
6/6/2026, 9:07:13 PM23 trades$1801 min
6/7/2026, 8:05:16 PM4 trades$1500 min
5/16/2026, 11:23:30 PM2 trades$1350 min
6/10/2026, 5:23:34 AM9 trades$1210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
05-23
05-29
06-07
06-09
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 17 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
78.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.24/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.1 / M36.8 / H14