@citcap

#2,716,3568

0xdebdff6613619eaf2317945b4a65351f03cf49f3

~26d· 116 markets · 432 tradesVol: $36,1192026-08-05 02:23:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (10/41)0/20
0.34x (win $78 / loss $229)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.6830/15
Sortino -5.6270/10
$-0.1802 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 924 (41 markets)7.9/10
4/13 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 3506% of peak ($168 / $5)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#288,540$-143Vol: $32,397
🏛️ POLITICS#1,300,618$-12Vol: $1,837
₿ CRYPTO#1,406,769$-57Vol: $462
💰 FINANCE#398,637$-0Vol: $374
📈 ECONOMICS#75,772$3Vol: $233
🎭 CULTURE#668,299$-7Vol: $197
⚽ SPORTS#301,953$8Vol: $125
💻 TECH#208,353$-3Vol: $95

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-206
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,119
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
247B / 185S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $10
Week
$7
Vol: $265
Month
$5
Vol: $295
All Time
$-206
Vol: $36,119

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
9W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-206
Win Rate
23%
9W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.34x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $53 (0.2587443077221199% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$18
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-05-03?$12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$10
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $336 in July?$3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$2
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?$1

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4?$-134
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-26
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-16
Will Meta (META) beat quarterly earnings?$-9
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-8
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?$-6
Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3?$-6
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in July?$-5
Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 total revenue be above $7B?$-3
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.286
Sortino
-0.240
HHI
498
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.249
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.9%
Top-5 markets
45.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 587s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.46
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.5%
Mid (20-55c)32.8%
High (>55c)39.7%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 3:59:24 PM4 trades$2820 min
7/28/2026, 1:14:46 PM6 trades$1720 min
5/3/2026, 6:51:26 PM40 trades$1395 min
5/19/2026, 12:25:41 PM30 trades$1290 min
5/4/2026, 4:02:22 AM2 trades$1060 min
7/16/2026, 10:00:08 AM20 trades$672 min
5/3/2026, 7:01:54 PM22 trades$670 min
7/21/2026, 6:26:34 PM12 trades$491 min
7/18/2026, 7:11:43 PM6 trades$421 min
5/6/2026, 5:51:04 PM4 trades$415 min
5/6/2026, 5:40:54 PM3 trades$404 min
5/5/2026, 12:18:50 AM14 trades$340 min
5/3/2026, 9:08:42 PM2 trades$300 min
7/19/2026, 9:41:24 PM7 trades$272 min
7/28/2026, 6:06:49 PM12 trades$257 min
7/26/2026, 1:55:19 PM3 trades$230 min
5/6/2026, 8:36:43 PM1 trades$230 min
7/21/2026, 4:19:15 PM2 trades$200 min
7/26/2026, 10:13:16 AM2 trades$200 min
8/3/2026, 10:10:45 AM6 trades$163 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-03
05-05
05-19
07-17
07-19
07-26
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 77 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4.9% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.46/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.5 / M32.8 / H39.7