@claudemole

#75,86782

0xf4561d7dc518c1a50655e84c4e634f9b713bd568

~28d· 133 markets · 425 tradesVol: $34,7832026-08-06 06:23:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (54/115)8.5/20
2.86x (win $3,020 / loss $1,057)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.26815/15
Sortino 36.09410/10
$+0.5816 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 763 (115 markets)8.7/10
13/26 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 11% of peak ($237 / $2,178)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,126
Cool Head
Max DD 11%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#2,994$410Vol: $30,921
🏛️ POLITICS#38,393$265Vol: $1,791
CRYPTO#302,642$4Vol: $962
📈 ECONOMICS#5,752$365Vol: $725
💰 FINANCE#20,227$82Vol: $333
SPORTS#636,946$-0Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,127
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,783
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
133
total markets
Trades
144B / 281S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$116
Vol: $401
Week
$207
Vol: $8,029
Month
$388
Vol: $8,895
All Time
$1,127
Vol: $34,783

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
53W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$1,127
Win Rate
46%
53W / 61L
Profit Factor
2.86x
Avg Win
$56
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,028 (1.8004882379050153% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1,290
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$577
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?$162
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 25?$117
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 10?$115
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$93
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 20?$90
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$80
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?$43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on July 11?$37

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 21?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on July 27?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 25?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 27?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on July 26?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 27?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 25?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 27?$-37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 5?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 18?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.270
Sortino
2.075
HHI
936
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.681
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.3%
Top-5 markets
47.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
32.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1926s — normal for humanCV 2.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.1 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.27
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.6%
Mid (20-55c)34.7%
High (>55c)50.7%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 5:50:47 PM7 trades$1,1140 min
7/9/2026, 11:47:41 AM63 trades$6594 min
6/14/2026, 7:01:10 PM3 trades$6250 min
6/4/2026, 11:17:00 AM2 trades$5550 min
7/13/2026, 2:29:11 PM5 trades$4660 min
7/23/2026, 11:50:42 PM12 trades$2241 min
8/4/2026, 7:52:39 PM22 trades$2081 min
7/21/2026, 12:40:57 AM1 trades$1920 min
7/17/2026, 11:51:58 PM18 trades$1752 min
7/26/2026, 11:47:27 AM13 trades$1542 min
8/5/2026, 5:26:11 PM8 trades$1430 min
8/2/2026, 6:55:35 PM7 trades$1390 min
8/3/2026, 11:59:23 PM3 trades$1250 min
7/12/2026, 7:30:20 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/25/2026, 11:53:58 PM3 trades$950 min
7/15/2026, 11:44:43 PM11 trades$930 min
8/2/2026, 8:31:02 PM2 trades$910 min
7/19/2026, 11:49:43 AM8 trades$900 min
7/16/2026, 1:21:20 PM3 trades$870 min
7/18/2026, 5:58:31 PM11 trades$860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
07-11
07-15
07-19
07-23
07-27
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
94% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.6 / M34.7 / H50.7