@clumsyderpino
#414,265750xa93c21c5f59953f4a507263a01b33449e2112082
~49d· 53 markets · 182 tradesVol: $8,1502026-08-04 17:18:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
86% (36/42)20/20
1.73x (win $110 / loss $64)11.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.88615/15
Sortino 4.34110/10
$+0.0077 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 831 (42 markets)8.3/10
22/26 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 84% of peak ($39 / $47)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+20
Consistent
22/26 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#117,268$28Vol: $5,229
🎭 CULTURE#726,920$-20Vol: $1,639
🌤️ WEATHER#22,678$10Vol: $1,130
💰 FINANCE#120,294$1Vol: $92
📈 ECONOMICS#92,579$2Vol: $60
Overview
#1Net PnL
$20
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,150
Total Redeem
$644
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
113B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$20
Vol: $8,150
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
86%
36W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$20
Win Rate
86%
36W / 6L
Profit Factor
1.73x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $50 (2.454233969652472% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$27
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$15
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?$8
Megaquake by January 31?$5
Trump out as President by March 31?$4
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?$4
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?$3
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$3
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$3
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$3
Top Losers
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$-30
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?$-25
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.148
Sortino
0.136
HHI
504
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.7%
Top-5 markets
40.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
38.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2322s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)93.8%
Sessions
#126/15/2026, 4:34:31 PM4 trades$5802 min
5/13/2026, 3:08:26 PM8 trades$5740 min
6/6/2026, 7:41:06 PM4 trades$5002 min
4/6/2026, 10:32:53 AM10 trades$3955 min
7/2/2026, 9:47:58 PM7 trades$3150 min
7/3/2026, 10:40:35 AM7 trades$2951 min
6/2/2026, 6:40:31 PM1 trades$2910 min
5/31/2026, 9:58:09 PM5 trades$2792 min
5/31/2026, 1:08:41 PM5 trades$2331 min
7/2/2026, 9:03:07 PM4 trades$2050 min
7/3/2026, 6:17:58 AM1 trades$1970 min
1/6/2026, 1:23:07 PM2 trades$1953 min
2/21/2026, 11:12:36 AM2 trades$1572 min
1/5/2026, 2:17:03 PM1 trades$1400 min
12/4/2025, 1:53:43 PM3 trades$1373 min
3/2/2026, 10:52:51 AM1 trades$1290 min
7/3/2026, 12:43:17 AM3 trades$1152 min
1/17/2026, 5:12:36 PM2 trades$1104 min
7/7/2026, 5:37:02 PM2 trades$1040 min
3/21/2026, 12:33:11 PM1 trades$1030 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
12-24
01-03
01-17
02-01
03-23
05-31
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M6.2 / H93.8