@cmrl
#2,767,681710x7e0b6bf7d79142d1c913094765203e01fb8ce169
~14d· 75 markets · 1007 tradesVol: $19,9262026-08-04 16:20:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
36% (27/75)3/20
1.80x (win $2,513 / loss $1,395)12.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.56415/15
Sortino 16.24810/10
$+0.3901 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 425 (75 markets)10/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($416 / $1,383)8/10
Badges
2Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
2🌤️ WEATHER#292,374$-258Vol: $19,875
⚽ SPORTS#1,471,645$-21Vol: $51
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-279
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,926
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
354B / 653S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
36%
27W / 48L events
Realized PnL
$-279
Win Rate
36%
27W / 48L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$93
Avg Loss
$-32
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,859 (6.663345756880734% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 19?$830
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?$774
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 20?$255
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 17?$171
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?$145
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 29?$81
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?$48
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?$40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$36
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 17?$32
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 18?$-286
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on June 18?$-135
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 20?$-114
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 19?$-89
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 19?$-73
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 20?$-66
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 20?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 19?$-51
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 21?$-51
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 19?$-48
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.230
Sortino
0.689
HHI
475
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.390
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
39.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
48.0
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.1m
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 182s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock48 trades/day — high frequency3.6 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
13.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.8%
Mid (20-55c)12.7%
High (>55c)65.5%
Sessions
#126/18/2026, 2:07:16 PM161 trades$2,20842 min
6/17/2026, 1:06:43 AM33 trades$82312 min
6/21/2026, 2:26:20 AM37 trades$4050 min
6/19/2026, 12:10:59 AM34 trades$3723 min
6/18/2026, 8:18:43 AM15 trades$3031 min
6/17/2026, 5:23:19 AM3 trades$2230 min
6/29/2026, 10:56:55 PM13 trades$2041 min
6/19/2026, 1:56:59 AM12 trades$2024 min
6/17/2026, 8:54:14 AM26 trades$1966 min
6/17/2026, 7:38:25 AM2 trades$1770 min
6/18/2026, 4:19:19 AM7 trades$1653 min
6/20/2026, 3:23:59 PM10 trades$1530 min
6/18/2026, 5:19:08 AM4 trades$1490 min
6/17/2026, 8:51:05 PM7 trades$1390 min
6/17/2026, 9:25:04 AM32 trades$13615 min
6/17/2026, 2:46:12 AM15 trades$13410 min
6/17/2026, 8:41:43 PM5 trades$1240 min
6/17/2026, 4:57:38 AM8 trades$1220 min
6/26/2026, 6:42:19 AM2 trades$1180 min
6/18/2026, 3:36:58 PM11 trades$1134 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-17
06-19
06-21
06-26
06-28
06-30
07-07
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.8 / M12.7 / H65.5