cocoa-110

@cocoa-110

#86,25263

0x03a12a12fb345e308f040f5b27ac5627637fb818

~123d· 87 markets · 302 tradesVol: $68,529 @rice_soda2026-08-05 01:06:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (26/65)5/20
1.48x (win $1,578 / loss $1,065)8.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.84315/15
Sortino 3.29410/10
$+0.1753 per $1 invested8.8/10
HHI 742 (65 markets)8.8/10
19/50 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($394 / $880)5.1/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+903
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
₿ CRYPTO#1,548,549$-236Vol: $54,393
📈 ECONOMICS#4,189$602Vol: $6,209
🏛️ POLITICS#23,382$651Vol: $4,663
💰 FINANCE#638,658$-149Vol: $1,741
⚽ SPORTS#187,826$36Vol: $1,423
🌤️ WEATHER#209,836$-2Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$903
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$68,529
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
87
total markets
Trades
220B / 82S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~123d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $10
Week
$2
Vol: $10
Month
$4
Vol: $10
All Time
$903
Vol: $68,529

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
26W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$903
Win Rate
40%
26W / 39L
Profit Factor
1.48x
Avg Win
$61
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $986 (1.0921208629267267% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$471
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?$284
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$230
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?$154
zkSync airdrop by June 30?$57
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$53
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$50
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$49
Will Trump impose tariffs on Japan in the first 100 days?$37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$36

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-424
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $-133
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in April?$-50
Rabby airdrop by June 30?$-50
Rabby airdrop by September 30?$-31
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$-30
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$-25
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% in 2025?$-21
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?$-20
Linea airdrop in Q1 2025?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.096
Sortino
0.146
HHI
485
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.191
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.4%
Top-5 markets
39.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 976s — normal for humanCV 1.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35.9%
Mid (20-55c)39.1%
High (>55c)25%

Sessions

#12
9/7/2025, 8:05:44 AM2 trades$3311 min
5/28/2026, 11:40:39 AM4 trades$2661 min
9/7/2025, 8:12:50 AM2 trades$2314 min
5/29/2026, 9:48:40 AM9 trades$2086 min
3/14/2026, 4:24:03 PM1 trades$1980 min
5/25/2025, 7:02:26 AM2 trades$1860 min
11/5/2024, 7:43:35 AM2 trades$1472 min
7/18/2026, 5:55:00 AM10 trades$1463 min
3/22/2026, 9:07:05 AM1 trades$1150 min
12/8/2025, 1:44:29 AM1 trades$1090 min
6/11/2024, 9:10:53 AM1 trades$1070 min
10/13/2025, 10:27:59 PM1 trades$1030 min
3/14/2026, 7:40:13 PM1 trades$1000 min
10/18/2024, 4:14:17 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/3/2024, 4:15:47 PM1 trades$1000 min
1/1/2026, 7:35:45 PM1 trades$990 min
11/27/2025, 10:08:11 PM2 trades$983 min
5/27/2026, 3:35:18 PM1 trades$940 min
7/22/2024, 8:46:59 AM2 trades$811 min
10/14/2025, 11:52:59 AM3 trades$811 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-16
11-05
03-02
06-28
09-30
02-13
05-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.45/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L35.9 / M39.1 / H25