@crackenthusiast

#10,69665

0xb5e25c4d781854ea4ac0f3c4b55f81b5991ee599

~473d· 471 markets · 4985 tradesVol: $1,064,8562026-08-04 21:01:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (245/451)12.2/20
1.23x (win $44,606 / loss $36,328)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.04315/15
Sortino 1.52010/10
$+0.0425 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 116 (451 markets)10/10
146/263 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 52% of peak ($9,007 / $17,284)3.6/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+14,197
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 10.5 entries/market
Whale
$194,820 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#3,818$9,920Vol: $738,064
🎭 CULTURE#1,765$4,270Vol: $127,304
💻 TECH#421$4,457Vol: $105,444
SPORTS#1,794,786$-496Vol: $33,039
💰 FINANCE#655,936$-1,747Vol: $25,829
📈 ECONOMICS#678,338$-871Vol: $16,641
CRYPTO#66,699$192Vol: $9,948
🌤️ WEATHER#228,374$-5Vol: $31
📢 MENTIONS#24,919$5Vol: $18

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,197
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,064,856
Total Redeem
$1,350
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
471
total markets
Trades
3675B / 1310S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~473d

Periods

#2
Today
$13
Vol: $0
Week
$16
Vol: $0
Month
$14
Vol: $0
All Time
$14,197
Vol: $1,064,856

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
245W / 206L events
Realized PnL
$14,197
Win Rate
54%
245W / 206L
Profit Factor
1.23x
Avg Win
$182
Avg Loss
$-187

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,182 (0.5058981726125027% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3,256
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$2,056
US kicks trans members out of military before July? $1,870
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?$1,864
1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?$1,445
TikTok banned in 2025?$1,437
Record low border encounters in April?$1,295
Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $1,239
TikTok sale announced in 2025?$1,115
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?$1,039

Top Losers

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$-3,610
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election? $-2,039
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgios$-1,542
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines in 2025?$-1,414
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$-1,357
Will the U.S. take a stake in Intel by September 30?$-1,322
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$-1,139
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?$-1,051
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$-1,043
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-940

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.054
Sortino
0.059
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1164s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.47
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36%
Mid (20-55c)35.8%
High (>55c)28.2%

Sessions

#12
9/7/2025, 1:25:32 AM4 trades$4,6735 min
5/1/2026, 5:21:02 PM11 trades$3,2980 min
1/19/2025, 9:14:09 PM1 trades$2,2410 min
7/6/2025, 12:20:41 PM2 trades$2,1662 min
5/6/2025, 9:53:16 PM4 trades$1,9250 min
2/11/2025, 3:15:01 PM4 trades$1,8066 min
6/25/2025, 12:36:57 AM14 trades$1,79220 min
5/31/2025, 12:21:59 PM2 trades$1,7910 min
6/27/2026, 1:59:02 AM9 trades$1,6150 min
12/22/2025, 10:43:19 PM1 trades$1,5150 min
8/18/2025, 12:32:36 PM11 trades$1,47010 min
1/11/2025, 7:09:15 PM18 trades$1,22212 min
6/25/2025, 7:46:43 PM1 trades$1,1360 min
5/9/2025, 3:56:53 PM3 trades$1,0703 min
6/24/2025, 9:53:25 PM7 trades$1,0284 min
5/14/2025, 10:15:54 AM1 trades$1,0090 min
1/26/2025, 3:19:40 AM3 trades$1,0017 min
12/3/2024, 7:57:20 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/29/2025, 4:24:03 PM2 trades$9971 min
5/12/2025, 2:13:36 AM2 trades$9790 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-13
12-16
03-19
05-29
08-19
12-22
04-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 249 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.47/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36 / M35.8 / H28.2