@crazymerlyn

#3,003,8547

0x31676bc3d0dcacd46a71246f8d6e612a2185679e

~84d· 205 markets · 1980 tradesVol: $349,5332026-08-06 15:54:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (40/152)0/20
0.27x (win $659 / loss $2,432)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8030/15
Sortino -4.7070/10
$-0.1497 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1421 (152 markets)5.4/10
18/51 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($1,773 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
78% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,610,524$-825Vol: $237,126
💰 FINANCE#650,042$-368Vol: $61,199
⚽ SPORTS#1,770,848$-309Vol: $18,412
₿ CRYPTO#1,593,576$-512Vol: $17,604
🎭 CULTURE#67,739$10Vol: $6,779
📈 ECONOMICS#647,226$-48Vol: $5,626
💻 TECH#248,313$-82Vol: $1,502
🌤️ WEATHER#38,919$3Vol: $1,227

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,131
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$349,533
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
205
total markets
Trades
1163B / 817S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~84d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-9
Vol: $0
Month
$-18
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,131
Vol: $349,533

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
40W / 112L events
Realized PnL
$-2,131
Win Rate
26%
40W / 112L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-43

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $246 (0.1155661705362338% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will FAST win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?$98
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?$79
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?$69
"The Roses" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 65 and 69?$59
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$50
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$39
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 9?$35
"The Roses" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 60 and 64?$35
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 SuperUnited Rapid & Blitz Croatia tournament?$23

Top Losers

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?$-911
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$-321
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?$-150
Will @Grok resume replying by Wednesday? $-82
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 15?$-77
Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?$-74
Will Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?$-73
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?$-71
Will Gukesh Dommaraju finish second in the 2025 FIDE World Cup?$-70
Will xAI have the top AI model on July 31?$-70

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.249
Sortino
-0.205
HHI
1455
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.155
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
34.1%
Top-5 markets
63.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 330s — normal for humanCV 2.52 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal70% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)78.1%
Mid (20-55c)9.1%
High (>55c)12.8%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 7:02:16 AM13 trades$7912 min
5/3/2026, 5:32:14 PM11 trades$6970 min
6/23/2025, 5:44:17 PM27 trades$67326 min
5/4/2026, 12:04:56 PM42 trades$5005 min
6/24/2025, 12:36:25 PM9 trades$36514 min
6/24/2025, 8:44:55 AM8 trades$3655 min
5/7/2026, 10:30:51 PM14 trades$35710 min
6/24/2025, 7:50:57 AM13 trades$34511 min
8/28/2025, 5:31:41 PM3 trades$3436 min
7/8/2025, 4:30:03 PM1 trades$3120 min
7/6/2025, 7:32:37 PM2 trades$3110 min
6/24/2025, 8:52:49 PM5 trades$2733 min
7/9/2025, 12:52:12 PM10 trades$26910 min
6/23/2025, 10:46:27 PM5 trades$26115 min
6/23/2025, 10:18:53 PM15 trades$25717 min
8/28/2025, 5:50:29 PM22 trades$2467 min
7/9/2025, 12:02:38 PM1 trades$2360 min
7/8/2025, 11:24:11 PM1 trades$2340 min
6/24/2025, 2:33:33 AM7 trades$2318 min
6/24/2025, 4:02:51 AM15 trades$22725 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
07-06
09-03
09-14
05-04
05-19
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.18/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L78.1 / M9.1 / H12.8