@crazytestguy

#139,16466

0x21675c39d2e3ddd37119b6e2392fc5f0bb0e5ded

~40d· 226 markets · 625 tradesVol: $24,4182026-08-04 20:40:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (126/196)17.1/20
1.16x (win $2,165 / loss $1,862)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.13915/15
Sortino 3.77510/10
$+0.0441 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 244 (196 markets)10/10
19/33 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($449 / $385)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+330
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
SPORTS#58,614$468Vol: $11,398
CRYPTO#1,524,782$-177Vol: $9,094
🏛️ POLITICS#103,729$37Vol: $3,060
📈 ECONOMICS#405,589$-0Vol: $333
💰 FINANCE#109,905$2Vol: $257
🎭 CULTURE#174,524$1Vol: $226
💻 TECH#98,165$0Vol: $25

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$331
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,418
Total Redeem
$1,149
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
226
total markets
Trades
307B / 318S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $530
Week
$9
Vol: $2,096
Month
$94
Vol: $2,481
All Time
$331
Vol: $24,418

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
125W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$331
Win Rate
64%
125W / 70L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-37

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $478 (1.4451437216338878% of PnL)

Top Winners

XRP Up or Down - March 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$222
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$177
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?$78
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$67
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)$60
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$56
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$55
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)$52
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$52
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-08-02?$50

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-128
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-100
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5$-100
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$-50
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5$-50
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5$-50
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-50
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$-50
Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-50
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.110
Sortino
0.155
HHI
143
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
19.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
30.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1836s — normal for humanCV 0.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.95
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.7%
Mid (20-55c)15.6%
High (>55c)69.7%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 12:25:13 AM4 trades$2765 min
6/15/2026, 12:00:25 AM2 trades$2580 min
6/21/2026, 1:55:56 AM9 trades$2361 min
6/21/2026, 1:39:19 AM6 trades$2253 min
7/30/2026, 10:17:45 AM3 trades$1920 min
7/18/2026, 11:26:49 PM12 trades$1920 min
8/2/2026, 10:25:53 AM8 trades$19010 min
7/1/2026, 10:01:25 PM4 trades$1681 min
6/14/2026, 10:58:03 PM4 trades$1614 min
8/2/2026, 7:27:06 PM2 trades$1320 min
6/14/2026, 9:52:37 PM3 trades$1140 min
7/13/2026, 5:52:02 AM2 trades$1140 min
6/20/2026, 7:57:17 PM4 trades$1131 min
7/24/2026, 4:20:06 PM4 trades$1050 min
7/29/2026, 8:27:48 PM7 trades$1014 min
6/17/2026, 9:53:07 PM2 trades$1010 min
6/20/2026, 8:50:16 AM7 trades$1001 min
6/14/2026, 11:18:04 PM4 trades$1000 min
6/14/2026, 1:09:04 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/14/2026, 2:17:52 AM2 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
03-27
06-17
06-23
07-02
07-20
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 98 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.7 / M15.6 / H69.7