@credence0918
#3,061,802120x7bec7111ca6f81aed198e090d968faaf9510b4e2
~9d· 45 markets · 2281 tradesVol: $258,8192026-08-04 22:09:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
13% (6/45)0/20
0.27x (win $7,022 / loss $25,912)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.9450/15
Sortino -10.0180/10
$-0.4536 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 469 (45 markets)10/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 1331% of peak ($20,424 / $1,535)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
High Roller
$2,603/day
Categories
5🎭 CULTURE#816,320$-6,894Vol: $214,347
🏛️ POLITICS#20,837$790Vol: $26,365
💻 TECH#258,435$-2,142Vol: $9,258
💰 FINANCE#657,529$-3,831Vol: $8,582
📈 ECONOMICS#656,867$-86Vol: $267
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-12,161
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$258,819
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
364B / 1917S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
13%
6W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-12,161
Win Rate
13%
6W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$1,170
Avg Loss
$-664
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,577 (0.5407698430449025% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?$3,009
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$2,641
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$927
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$438
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$8
Top Losers
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$-3,484
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-3,365
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?$-3,167
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$-3,024
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$-2,322
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026?$-2,071
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-1,962
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?$-1,409
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,073
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$-626
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.536
Sortino
-0.754
HHI
753
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.429
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
50.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
142.6
Very active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
26.0m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
43.2
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — normal for humanCV 3.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity143 trades/day — automation2.8 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
52.13
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)66.8%
Mid (20-55c)12.4%
High (>55c)20.9%
Sessions
#126/25/2026, 8:53:32 AM27 trades$15,4482 min
6/20/2026, 6:01:47 PM8 trades$12,0642 min
6/24/2026, 2:22:31 PM465 trades$11,94511 min
6/24/2026, 2:49:05 PM79 trades$10,2626 min
6/23/2026, 5:29:38 PM304 trades$9,37322 min
6/23/2026, 3:44:38 PM3 trades$7,0410 min
6/21/2026, 9:43:38 AM21 trades$5,8670 min
6/24/2026, 4:58:13 AM11 trades$4,8091 min
6/19/2026, 7:53:19 PM76 trades$4,1563 min
6/23/2026, 2:39:25 PM13 trades$4,0846 min
6/19/2026, 6:37:52 PM37 trades$3,9611 min
6/18/2026, 4:11:58 PM57 trades$3,8712 min
6/23/2026, 6:12:44 PM136 trades$3,4904 min
6/23/2026, 9:52:37 AM23 trades$3,4531 min
6/21/2026, 11:23:50 AM34 trades$3,0923 min
6/25/2026, 9:08:59 AM54 trades$3,0252 min
6/21/2026, 5:29:41 PM27 trades$2,8733 min
6/24/2026, 3:17:34 PM117 trades$2,8423 min
6/25/2026, 5:44:47 AM168 trades$2,7444 min
6/19/2026, 12:58:08 PM4 trades$2,4882 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-19
06-20
06-21
06-23
06-24
06-25
07-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
84% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.13/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66.8 / M12.4 / H20.9