@crescidentialsuite

#2,541,46911

0xd25dded89a80d827688c8499211f2924e9854540

~47d· 100 markets · 398 tradesVol: $6,1942026-08-05 00:40:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (38/88)6.6/20
0.46x (win $87 / loss $187)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5090/15
Sortino -6.2610/10
$-0.1775 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5483 (88 markets)0/10
17/37 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 8382% of peak ($101 / $1)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#273,335$-41Vol: $2,550
🏛️ POLITICS#1,394,658$-24Vol: $1,819
🎭 CULTURE#734,684$-25Vol: $964
💰 FINANCE#62,905$7Vol: $665
📈 ECONOMICS#547,429$-3Vol: $103
📢 MENTIONS#81,535$-1Vol: $4
⚽ SPORTS#955,876$-1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-99
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,194
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
100
total markets
Trades
192B / 206S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~47d

Periods

#2
Today
$-37
Vol: $298
Week
$-20
Vol: $798
Month
$-19
Vol: $813
All Time
$-99
Vol: $6,194

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
38W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$-99
Win Rate
43%
38W / 50L
Profit Factor
0.46x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $44 (0.4448615197321701% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$7
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$5
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$4
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 3?$3
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$3
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 27?$2

Top Losers

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in July?$-20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-13
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-13
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-12
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3?$-10
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-10
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 29?$-10
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.284
Sortino
-0.342
HHI
262
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.179
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
25.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
39.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2396s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.5%
Mid (20-55c)15.1%
High (>55c)73.4%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 2:31:26 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/17/2026, 11:54:35 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/28/2026, 10:06:38 PM18 trades$15412 min
7/23/2026, 9:51:03 PM4 trades$780 min
7/23/2026, 8:07:43 AM2 trades$410 min
6/16/2026, 8:16:27 AM2 trades$370 min
6/6/2026, 12:03:30 PM8 trades$365 min
8/3/2026, 2:46:50 PM3 trades$340 min
8/2/2026, 12:37:02 PM4 trades$300 min
7/20/2026, 9:24:57 AM2 trades$280 min
7/23/2026, 7:58:22 AM5 trades$283 min
8/2/2026, 2:23:47 PM2 trades$260 min
6/8/2026, 3:14:49 PM4 trades$231 min
7/23/2026, 10:06:31 AM5 trades$220 min
7/28/2026, 10:27:29 PM3 trades$200 min
6/7/2026, 1:01:19 PM2 trades$190 min
8/3/2026, 4:08:35 PM1 trades$180 min
6/8/2026, 8:10:39 AM4 trades$181 min
7/29/2026, 9:03:47 AM7 trades$186 min
7/27/2026, 8:59:42 AM8 trades$171 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-07
06-17
06-25
07-04
07-18
07-26
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
34% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.5 / M15.1 / H73.4