@cryptochoofa

#265,12358

0x02ab4be202f33565bbb11da864c547f78e30cda4

~74d· 116 markets · 381 tradesVol: $48,801 @8l00x2026-08-04 21:58:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (49/109)7.5/20
1.28x (win $5,810 / loss $4,553)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.64215/15
Sortino 3.81410/10
$+0.1102 per $1 invested5.5/10
HHI 412 (109 markets)10/10
21/55 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 58% of peak ($872 / $1,501)2.4/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+80
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#24,924$582Vol: $15,351
📈 ECONOMICS#4,475$546Vol: $10,409
SPORTS#192,877$34Vol: $9,507
🎭 CULTURE#811,291$-1,096Vol: $6,745
CRYPTO#106,516$79Vol: $4,700
💰 FINANCE#21,374$73Vol: $1,173
📢 MENTIONS#166,686$-137Vol: $550

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$80
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,801
Total Redeem
$129
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
263B / 118S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~74d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$80
Vol: $48,801

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
49W / 60L events
Realized PnL
$80
Win Rate
45%
49W / 60L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$119
Avg Loss
$-76

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,393 (30.05575788019591% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,471
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?$523
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$399
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$344
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$292
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)$243
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$213
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score$166
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$150
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?$144

Top Losers

Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?$-382
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$-329
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)$-297
Washington Mystics vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 171.5$-261
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-245
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-220
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?$-188
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?$-160
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$-146
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.085
Sortino
0.237
HHI
343
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.108
Kelly %
7.7%
Half-Kelly
3.8%
Top-1 market
10.9%
Top-5 markets
33.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 254s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.8%
Mid (20-55c)36.5%
High (>55c)35.7%

Sessions

#12
5/22/2026, 10:40:05 PM5 trades$9721 min
9/16/2025, 6:26:58 PM2 trades$7120 min
5/14/2026, 7:58:27 PM12 trades$6640 min
7/2/2026, 4:43:59 PM2 trades$6590 min
10/23/2025, 3:36:21 PM1 trades$6490 min
1/24/2026, 4:53:16 PM3 trades$5780 min
1/15/2026, 12:02:26 PM2 trades$5250 min
6/18/2026, 6:37:49 PM8 trades$4691 min
12/24/2025, 9:41:41 PM8 trades$3823 min
6/20/2026, 10:50:23 PM1 trades$3650 min
7/9/2026, 9:53:43 AM6 trades$3340 min
1/17/2026, 12:20:52 AM7 trades$32815 min
1/30/2026, 9:31:42 PM3 trades$3213 min
4/23/2026, 9:23:10 PM5 trades$2980 min
12/31/2025, 8:13:33 PM20 trades$28419 min
1/18/2026, 4:43:40 PM4 trades$2830 min
6/16/2026, 9:46:41 PM8 trades$2761 min
4/16/2026, 8:54:06 PM4 trades$2600 min
5/16/2026, 9:16:48 PM11 trades$2590 min
6/26/2026, 11:15:22 PM4 trades$2550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
01-16
01-30
03-04
04-27
06-17
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 141 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.45/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.8 / M36.5 / H35.7