cryptohistory

@cryptohistory

#49,8647

0x06303853c41d60fe7af3fc3edabfb695c0d5ae2e

~44d· 47 markets · 247 tradesVol: $158,561 @CryptoHistoryX2026-08-04 16:19:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (9/41)0/20
0.29x (win $201 / loss $690)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5160/15
Sortino -5.5460/10
$-0.0235 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1091 (41 markets)7/10
4/19 profitable days (21%)0/10
Max DD 18277% of peak ($492 / $3)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+2,118
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
CRYPTO#16,136$2,736Vol: $77,441
🏛️ POLITICS#1,457,390$-47Vol: $46,361
SPORTS#1,746,411$-218Vol: $9,728
📈 ECONOMICS#655,951$-80Vol: $9,665
🎭 CULTURE#771,752$-71Vol: $7,838
💰 FINANCE#644,099$-203Vol: $7,453
💻 TECH#53,010$1Vol: $76

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,118
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$158,561
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
207B / 40S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~44d

Periods

#2
Today
$85
Vol: $0
Week
$419
Vol: $60
Month
$257
Vol: $60
All Time
$2,118
Vol: $158,561

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
9W / 32L events
Realized PnL
$2,118
Win Rate
22%
9W / 32L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $197 (0.09280755608028335% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$116
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?$77
Phillies vs. Astros$4
Yankees vs. Reds$3
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before July?$1
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?$1
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?$0
Ethereum all time high by June 30?$0

Top Losers

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$-307
Will anyone audibly fart during Trump's WEF 2026 speech?$-65
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?$-53
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$-33
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?$-24
Will STAN win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$-20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-20
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win Super Bowl 2026?$-14
Will SPD win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.281
Sortino
-0.277
HHI
3
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.467
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.5%
Top-5 markets
2.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
23.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1400s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.1%
Mid (20-55c)53.1%
High (>55c)5.8%

Sessions

#12
1/11/2026, 9:44:42 PM9 trades$4,06812 min
1/5/2026, 1:40:55 PM3 trades$1,5656 min
1/3/2026, 10:34:27 AM3 trades$1,5000 min
2/1/2026, 6:17:16 AM2 trades$1,2601 min
4/24/2026, 10:12:20 PM2 trades$9970 min
1/5/2026, 1:59:11 PM2 trades$8571 min
5/16/2026, 6:49:41 PM10 trades$8130 min
1/30/2026, 2:03:28 AM1 trades$7880 min
7/19/2026, 3:24:37 PM13 trades$7180 min
2/1/2026, 4:28:22 PM1 trades$6650 min
2/1/2026, 8:15:20 AM1 trades$5910 min
1/14/2026, 10:13:22 AM1 trades$5680 min
2/1/2026, 3:08:40 PM1 trades$4650 min
2/1/2026, 6:02:40 AM1 trades$4550 min
2/7/2026, 8:48:31 PM3 trades$4351 min
3/8/2026, 9:59:43 PM2 trades$3811 min
2/7/2026, 8:34:45 PM1 trades$3800 min
2/10/2026, 10:14:57 PM1 trades$3720 min
2/10/2026, 9:38:43 PM2 trades$3221 min
2/7/2026, 8:14:09 PM1 trades$2840 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
07-15
09-23
01-03
01-19
01-31
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 365 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.1 / M53.1 / H5.8