@damnl

#2,892,06621

0xaaf05b62ec12346d9cf9929f6fc3b3a4cc179ef6

~43d· 37 markets · 316 tradesVol: $72,5712026-08-04 23:03:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (9/19)8.7/20
0.45x (win $4,655 / loss $10,392)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9410/15
Sortino -6.1580/10
$-0.2445 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 800 (19 markets)8.5/10
7/16 profitable days (44%)3.4/10
Max DD 1847% of peak ($6,763 / $366)0/10

Badges

3
DCA Master
Avg 21.1 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
82% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,665,739$-92Vol: $19,566
💰 FINANCE#646,143$-301Vol: $13,108
🏛️ POLITICS#1,514,192$-94Vol: $10,289
CRYPTO#1,279,717$-22Vol: $9,033
📈 ECONOMICS#662,899$-120Vol: $8,089
🎭 CULTURE#776,537$-86Vol: $6,269

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-718
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$72,571
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
256B / 60S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~43d

Periods

#2
Today
$24
Vol: $0
Week
$32
Vol: $0
Month
$-32
Vol: $0
All Time
$-718
Vol: $72,571

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
9W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-718
Win Rate
47%
9W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$517
Avg Loss
$-1,039

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,882 (4.013748049921998% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1,129
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$1,085
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$668
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$659
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$366
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T$217
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?$206
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$195
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$130

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-3,639
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,034
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$-954
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?$-875
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?$-738
Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?$-679
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-515
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k?$-397
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?$-330
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-231

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.301
Sortino
-0.344
HHI
1031
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.218
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.6%
Top-5 markets
61.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.13
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 171s — normal for humanCV 1.13 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal82% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)12.9%
High (>55c)84%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 6:23:23 PM8 trades$7292 min
7/21/2026, 11:44:21 AM8 trades$7110 min
6/29/2026, 12:31:35 AM2 trades$6793 min
7/20/2026, 9:22:01 AM3 trades$6411 min
7/18/2026, 2:53:12 AM10 trades$6273 min
5/11/2026, 5:40:26 PM7 trades$6230 min
7/18/2026, 4:02:48 PM17 trades$6201 min
6/4/2026, 9:31:10 PM3 trades$5620 min
5/8/2026, 2:25:25 PM6 trades$5480 min
7/15/2026, 12:53:40 PM4 trades$5220 min
6/24/2026, 10:09:34 PM2 trades$5120 min
6/4/2026, 11:56:42 AM6 trades$5051 min
7/29/2026, 10:12:48 PM4 trades$4950 min
7/21/2026, 5:48:43 AM2 trades$4930 min
6/3/2026, 4:41:21 PM3 trades$4933 min
7/18/2026, 4:11:19 AM2 trades$4863 min
7/18/2026, 4:33:40 AM12 trades$4851 min
5/20/2026, 2:18:05 PM6 trades$4820 min
5/6/2026, 10:03:14 AM3 trades$4760 min
7/30/2026, 4:54:32 PM6 trades$4650 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-02
05-08
05-18
05-29
06-03
06-06
06-29
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 78 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
19% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M12.9 / H84