@daotie
#144,359880x364e36ae94b067610cd7986f5091a1e75d005228
~14d· 37 markets · 93 tradesVol: $5,9522026-08-05 02:29:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (22/33)18.3/20
22.10x (win $315 / loss $14)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.39315/15
Sortino 267.83110/10
$+0.1059 per $1 invested5.3/10
HHI 1529 (33 markets)4.9/10
9/13 profitable days (69%)9.8/10
Max DD 2% of peak ($5 / $302)10/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+306
Consistent
9/13 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 2%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#755,541$-0Vol: $1,513
₿ CRYPTO#53,617$305Vol: $1,513
🎭 CULTURE#131,129$2Vol: $1,328
🏛️ POLITICS#845,808$-1Vol: $993
💰 FINANCE#406,749$-0Vol: $564
🌤️ WEATHER#75,628$0Vol: $36
📈 ECONOMICS#268,050$0Vol: $5
Overview
#1Net PnL
$306
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,952
Total Redeem
$17
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
48B / 45S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d
Periods
#2Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$306
Vol: $5,952
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
22W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$306
Win Rate
67%
22W / 11L
Profit Factor
22.1x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $312 (1.0187569439905888% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$307
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$3
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$3
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$1
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$0
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$0
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0
Will Khamenei post 30-34 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$0
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$-5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$-3
Will Andrew Tate post 100-129 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-3
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-3
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$-1
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-0
Will Josh Safdie win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?$-0
Will Miguel Cadima win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.271
Sortino
9.483
HHI
1159
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.119
Kelly %
65.8%
Half-Kelly
32.9%
Top-1 market
21.7%
Top-5 markets
71.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 450s — normal for humanCV 1.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 10:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.73
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)66.7%
Sessions
#123/6/2026, 10:09:35 AM4 trades$4306 min
3/5/2026, 12:19:13 PM2 trades$3424 min
3/7/2026, 7:14:05 AM13 trades$3192 min
3/3/2026, 6:45:31 PM1 trades$3080 min
3/4/2026, 1:26:07 PM1 trades$3030 min
3/6/2026, 3:16:21 PM1 trades$2810 min
3/3/2026, 6:39:43 PM1 trades$2740 min
3/7/2026, 7:42:37 AM1 trades$2730 min
3/4/2026, 7:13:15 AM1 trades$2450 min
3/6/2026, 4:18:27 AM1 trades$2330 min
3/6/2026, 7:24:51 AM1 trades$2330 min
3/6/2026, 2:12:11 PM2 trades$2202 min
3/4/2026, 5:31:47 AM1 trades$2190 min
3/4/2026, 1:54:21 PM1 trades$2130 min
3/6/2026, 11:07:27 AM1 trades$1970 min
3/6/2026, 10:55:57 AM7 trades$1634 min
3/6/2026, 7:53:09 AM1 trades$1040 min
3/5/2026, 2:40:37 PM1 trades$1020 min
3/5/2026, 3:46:07 PM4 trades$1020 min
3/4/2026, 2:18:21 PM1 trades$1000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
03-05
03-07
03-25
04-02
05-20
07-21
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
12.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M33.3 / H66.7