@dave12345

#24,44264

0xc3200394fe335b646d329564c8af614408ca7637

~284d· 282 markets · 2850 tradesVol: $265,6492026-08-04 18:15:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (134/260)10.8/20
1.30x (win $13,356 / loss $10,263)6.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.69615/15
Sortino 2.84010/10
$+0.0440 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 180 (260 markets)10/10
82/155 profitable days (53%)5.7/10
Max DD 49% of peak ($2,355 / $4,817)4.2/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+5,221
Contrarian
62% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 9.8 entries/market
Whale
$70,340 invested
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

8
💰 FINANCE#2,311$2,022Vol: $89,642
🏛️ POLITICS#1,623,002$-1,663Vol: $75,518
📈 ECONOMICS#1,404$3,333Vol: $74,679
🎭 CULTURE#4,815$1,071Vol: $12,062
CRYPTO#104,133$85Vol: $7,807
📢 MENTIONS#156,009$-49Vol: $1,764
SPORTS#1,336,602$-10Vol: $369
💻 TECH#30,505$3Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,221
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$265,649
Total Redeem
$724
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
282
total markets
Trades
1840B / 1010S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~284d

Periods

#2
Today
$-160
Vol: $321
Week
$-199
Vol: $1,688
Month
$-174
Vol: $1,688
All Time
$5,221
Vol: $265,649

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
134W / 126L events
Realized PnL
$5,221
Win Rate
52%
134W / 126L
Profit Factor
1.3x
Avg Win
$100
Avg Loss
$-82

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,801 (0.5364976854378899% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1,177
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$852
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$772
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?$565
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$463
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $70 on the final trading day of June 2026?$401
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?$369
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$349
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?$319
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$298

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-862
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-621
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$-567
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 30?$-560
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$-449
Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in November?$-393
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?$-313
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$-303
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?$-272
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in November?$-268

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.088
Sortino
0.123
HHI
104
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.052
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 870s — normal for humanCV 1.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.84
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.1%
Mid (20-55c)43.5%
High (>55c)38.4%

Sessions

#12
2/11/2026, 9:00:29 PM1 trades$1,0210 min
2/5/2026, 3:18:05 AM4 trades$1,0013 min
11/10/2025, 12:44:11 AM19 trades$98710 min
10/29/2025, 5:58:21 PM3 trades$9535 min
6/22/2026, 8:48:58 PM4 trades$8862 min
1/12/2026, 6:53:10 AM1 trades$8550 min
8/21/2025, 7:51:20 AM3 trades$8512 min
1/12/2026, 4:13:31 PM1 trades$8460 min
11/21/2025, 2:35:49 PM16 trades$7628 min
5/10/2026, 3:42:56 PM5 trades$6201 min
6/21/2026, 9:54:16 PM4 trades$6143 min
6/30/2026, 8:38:10 PM6 trades$5920 min
11/20/2025, 2:11:09 AM5 trades$5894 min
4/29/2026, 7:09:26 PM12 trades$5716 min
4/7/2026, 10:57:17 PM14 trades$54510 min
4/30/2026, 1:38:52 PM3 trades$5381 min
9/17/2025, 10:03:18 PM4 trades$5347 min
5/4/2026, 10:21:54 PM9 trades$5254 min
1/17/2026, 2:04:00 AM1 trades$5240 min
1/28/2026, 9:08:30 PM1 trades$5230 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-20
09-03
11-20
01-19
02-19
03-31
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.84/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18.1 / M43.5 / H38.4