@davex27

#103,45565

0xfc209c195904e89c63f04a026f46b9fde4785374

~36d· 646 markets · 2526 tradesVol: $22,2482026-08-05 00:04:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (317/627)10.3/20
1.18x (win $2,507 / loss $2,119)4.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.26515/15
Sortino 4.96210/10
$+0.0636 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 108 (627 markets)10/10
18/33 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($237 / $553)5.4/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+637
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#41,451$546Vol: $17,020
🏛️ POLITICS#1,346,826$-16Vol: $3,338
🌤️ WEATHER#7,586$88Vol: $1,566
SPORTS#244,178$16Vol: $222
💰 FINANCE#124,755$1Vol: $68
📢 MENTIONS#98,255$-2Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$637
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$22,248
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
646
total markets
Trades
1606B / 920S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
317W / 310L events
Realized PnL
$637
Win Rate
51%
317W / 310L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $235 (0.36911171456825775% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $61,000 on June 27?$86
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$74
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$63
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$48
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$42
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$39
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$39

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-231
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-24
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$-24
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$-22
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$-18
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$-17
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$-16

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.168
Sortino
0.197
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.069
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.2%
Top-5 markets
20.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.0
Active
Markets / Day
8.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.2m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 599s — normal for humanCV 2.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency8.2 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.6%
Mid (20-55c)37.4%
High (>55c)41%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 12:57:24 PM73 trades$6653 min
6/4/2026, 6:34:48 PM13 trades$5194 min
5/12/2026, 11:48:48 AM7 trades$4390 min
6/4/2026, 6:44:45 PM34 trades$42320 min
5/13/2026, 12:13:54 PM7 trades$3391 min
6/4/2026, 5:53:52 PM15 trades$32810 min
5/12/2026, 3:00:47 AM35 trades$2228 min
6/9/2026, 1:20:06 AM2 trades$1900 min
6/11/2026, 3:35:04 PM2 trades$1800 min
5/13/2026, 5:05:19 AM3 trades$1770 min
6/7/2026, 6:53:07 PM10 trades$1650 min
5/13/2026, 4:14:01 AM12 trades$1541 min
6/4/2026, 4:55:10 PM8 trades$1464 min
6/16/2026, 5:50:04 AM6 trades$1210 min
5/13/2026, 7:40:27 AM12 trades$1106 min
5/13/2026, 2:13:40 AM14 trades$1090 min
6/30/2026, 1:07:53 PM3 trades$930 min
6/27/2026, 9:26:16 PM6 trades$910 min
6/8/2026, 8:55:04 PM6 trades$900 min
6/19/2026, 9:40:01 AM4 trades$860 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-12
06-07
06-12
06-17
06-22
06-30
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.6 / M37.4 / H41