ddlong

@ddlong

#2,978,86522

0x410efa90e3a2223823631d5027c29d66fc8b39ef

~72d· 97 markets · 479 tradesVol: $102,511 @D_DLong_2026-08-04 22:48:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (44/94)8.4/20
0.70x (win $5,898 / loss $8,473)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5960/15
Sortino -2.9220/10
$-0.0916 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 316 (94 markets)10/10
22/50 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($2,933 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 5.2 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,457,479$-92Vol: $53,997
SPORTS#1,803,582$-579Vol: $34,005
💰 FINANCE#637,858$-140Vol: $7,318
🏛️ POLITICS#1,614,235$-960Vol: $3,646
📈 ECONOMICS#604,656$-11Vol: $2,200
💻 TECH#8,062$57Vol: $745

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,654
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$102,511
Total Redeem
$2,188
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
97
total markets
Trades
299B / 180S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,654
Vol: $102,511

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
44W / 50L events
Realized PnL
$-1,654
Win Rate
47%
44W / 50L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$134
Avg Loss
$-177

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,520 (0.9189025827626432% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$600
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$477
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$444
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$432
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$336
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$327
Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$317
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$297
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?$284
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$265

Top Losers

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?$-952
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$-941
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-874
Knicks vs. Spurs$-504
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 in May?$-468
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-414
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$-411
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$-350
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-288
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 5?$-278

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.135
Sortino
-0.133
HHI
357
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.088
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
30.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 426s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.19
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)17.7%
High (>55c)65.6%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 3:43:44 AM7 trades$1,2930 min
5/31/2026, 4:36:44 PM4 trades$1,2900 min
5/15/2026, 6:39:32 PM6 trades$1,0935 min
4/29/2026, 2:45:30 AM2 trades$1,0640 min
5/30/2026, 4:18:05 PM4 trades$1,0015 min
5/11/2026, 2:01:51 AM6 trades$9783 min
6/2/2026, 4:37:07 AM1 trades$9700 min
11/21/2025, 9:42:13 AM4 trades$8742 min
6/3/2026, 2:56:45 PM13 trades$8000 min
4/28/2026, 3:15:18 AM4 trades$7760 min
4/25/2026, 7:01:34 AM5 trades$7600 min
6/1/2026, 2:53:53 PM2 trades$7360 min
2/27/2026, 5:39:15 PM4 trades$69810 min
12/27/2025, 10:08:53 AM3 trades$6332 min
4/25/2026, 10:02:58 AM11 trades$6195 min
5/21/2026, 12:46:41 AM2 trades$6100 min
5/28/2026, 4:55:32 PM3 trades$6000 min
12/29/2025, 4:42:53 AM1 trades$5910 min
2/27/2026, 5:11:38 AM4 trades$5882 min
12/24/2025, 2:19:13 AM4 trades$5742 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
12-10
12-29
04-07
05-11
05-27
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.19/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.7 / M17.7 / H65.6