decacepa

@decacepa

#63,34390

0x2809a637d8e3ee2eb1f05670398523aec76610dc

~77d· 116 markets · 1554 tradesVol: $3,686,130 @decacepabaseeth2026-08-04 17:19:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (91/113)20/20
37.35x (win $3,115 / loss $83)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.36315/15
Sortino 891.24010/10
$+0.0065 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 651 (113 markets)9.2/10
55/68 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($8 / $3,031)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+1,531
DCA Master
Avg 13.9 entries/market
Whale
$465,662 invested
Consistent
55/68 profitable days
High Roller
$1,893/day
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#210,823$14Vol: $3,263,815
🎭 CULTURE#15,684$162Vol: $284,529
💰 FINANCE#601,793$-25Vol: $92,527
🌤️ WEATHER#95,468$0Vol: $28,679
SPORTS#31,344$1,336Vol: $10,259
📈 ECONOMICS#18,092$51Vol: $5,883
🏛️ POLITICS#1,129,969$-5Vol: $425
💻 TECH#123,992$0Vol: $5
📢 MENTIONS#60,315$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,531
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,686,130
Total Redeem
$135
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
116
total markets
Trades
655B / 899S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $65
Week
$-1
Vol: $5,028
Month
$-1
Vol: $5,028
All Time
$1,531
Vol: $3,686,130

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
91W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$1,531
Win Rate
81%
91W / 22L
Profit Factor
37.35x
Avg Win
$34
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,085 (1.3619111058866555% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?$1,160
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 Masters tournament?$567
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$359
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$102
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$85
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$65
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$54
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$50
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonseca$44
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$40

Top Losers

Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,350-$4,475 in January?$-31
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-12
ASB Classic: Ben Shelton vs Sebastian Baez$-7
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-5
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$-5
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-4
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$-4
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.279
Sortino
28.362
HHI
474
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
47.8%
Half-Kelly
23.9%
Top-1 market
13.7%
Top-5 markets
37.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 144s — normal for humanCV 1.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.89
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.2%
Mid (20-55c)1.8%
High (>55c)82%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 12:56:34 PM55 trades$65,24716 min
4/25/2026, 12:45:36 PM45 trades$42,1725 min
4/27/2026, 5:08:56 PM61 trades$28,11715 min
4/26/2026, 5:33:10 PM53 trades$22,51016 min
4/25/2026, 12:04:36 PM40 trades$19,8711 min
4/26/2026, 4:41:08 PM56 trades$19,71920 min
6/30/2026, 11:37:47 PM6 trades$16,2590 min
4/27/2026, 12:03:28 PM32 trades$14,79518 min
6/21/2026, 1:42:53 AM18 trades$14,2971 min
6/4/2026, 3:06:27 AM2 trades$12,6630 min
6/17/2026, 9:41:40 AM2 trades$11,9880 min
4/27/2026, 1:15:46 PM24 trades$10,73511 min
6/21/2026, 11:30:53 PM23 trades$10,6238 min
6/17/2026, 4:50:07 PM9 trades$10,2750 min
6/20/2026, 10:44:04 PM2 trades$9,9900 min
5/12/2026, 6:57:24 PM13 trades$9,9641 min
6/25/2026, 2:24:29 AM16 trades$9,9162 min
3/16/2026, 2:23:51 PM2 trades$9,7840 min
6/22/2026, 1:29:16 AM9 trades$9,0050 min
4/24/2026, 9:53:12 PM11 trades$8,4010 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
02-26
04-06
04-26
05-09
06-06
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.89/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.2 / M1.8 / H82