@degenSigma

#2,611,51724

0x63cf3a3415fd1ac02f24c5fb731f45d967d7d155

~92d· 312 markets · 595 tradesVol: $14,3072026-08-04 21:00:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (149/303)9.6/20
0.80x (win $694 / loss $866)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3610/15
Sortino -3.1490/10
$-0.0880 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 77 (303 markets)10/10
37/81 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 3470% of peak ($286 / $8)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#157,116$56Vol: $7,838
🏛️ POLITICS#1,527,180$-107Vol: $3,518
₿ CRYPTO#1,453,147$-89Vol: $2,111
🎭 CULTURE#32,562$45Vol: $277
💻 TECH#236,382$-21Vol: $258
💰 FINANCE#581,543$-13Vol: $178
📈 ECONOMICS#588,101$-8Vol: $67
🌤️ WEATHER#18,873$15Vol: $30
📢 MENTIONS#109,295$-4Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-123
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,307
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
312
total markets
Trades
447B / 148S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-123
Vol: $14,307

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
149W / 154L events
Realized PnL
$-123
Win Rate
49%
149W / 154L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $146 (1.1880355831225005% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$82
Will Tottenham Hotspur win the UEFA Europa League?$43
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$21
Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?$20
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?$20
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$17
Will Spain be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?$16
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?$16
Solana ETF approved by July 31?$15
Will Norway reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-31
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$-29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-25
Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?$-25
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?$-25
Will a Republican win Virginia Presidential Election?$-25
Will Solana reach $270 in October?$-23
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?$-16
Solana all time high before 2026?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.123
Sortino
-0.158
HHI
72
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.086
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
10.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 636s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.5%
Mid (20-55c)42.1%
High (>55c)34.5%

Sessions

#12
11/5/2024, 10:37:45 PM2 trades$791 min
11/7/2025, 10:27:21 AM17 trades$7318 min
11/5/2024, 10:03:25 AM2 trades$555 min
11/5/2024, 9:58:03 AM1 trades$500 min
12/17/2025, 12:50:06 PM4 trades$464 min
11/5/2024, 10:18:31 AM1 trades$450 min
1/29/2026, 9:13:24 AM15 trades$4421 min
3/22/2025, 11:20:09 AM6 trades$447 min
1/28/2026, 7:12:32 PM15 trades$4214 min
3/19/2025, 10:16:42 AM6 trades$427 min
12/9/2025, 12:45:59 PM7 trades$396 min
11/7/2025, 12:28:37 PM4 trades$382 min
7/30/2026, 3:42:48 PM10 trades$3110 min
11/7/2025, 4:27:55 PM3 trades$301 min
7/3/2026, 12:42:08 PM5 trades$300 min
11/7/2025, 3:30:09 PM2 trades$271 min
11/7/2025, 4:00:53 PM4 trades$272 min
11/7/2025, 10:01:55 AM5 trades$2611 min
11/5/2024, 10:50:49 PM1 trades$250 min
7/15/2026, 8:20:02 PM3 trades$251 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
10-20
11-07
01-14
06-22
07-06
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 376 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L23.5 / M42.1 / H34.5