@dessturmeswucht
#2,718,769170x10045e96df1e5011c32219e3c4b4faa937c658ec
~32d· 70 markets · 244 tradesVol: $11,5032026-08-04 22:47:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (27/63)6.4/20
0.76x (win $444 / loss $582)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8470/15
Sortino -2.4090/10
$-0.1280 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1070 (63 markets)7.2/10
13/29 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 1583% of peak ($192 / $12)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
Categories
9💰 FINANCE#637,536$-136Vol: $6,945
🏛️ POLITICS#81,962$62Vol: $1,435
📈 ECONOMICS#575,189$-5Vol: $1,347
💻 TECH#245,422$-57Vol: $1,211
🎭 CULTURE#769,903$-66Vol: $481
🌤️ WEATHER#28,694$6Vol: $50
⚽ SPORTS#1,330,407$-9Vol: $23
📢 MENTIONS#103,945$-3Vol: $6
₿ CRYPTO#451,496$1Vol: $5
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-209
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,503
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
105B / 139S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-209
Vol: $11,503
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
27W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-209
Win Rate
43%
27W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.76x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-31
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $221 (1.0571455874623727% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$93
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$83
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$45
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?$40
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$29
Nothing Ever Happens: May$22
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?$21
Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?$20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$19
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$14
Top Losers
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-160
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-91
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-62
Will claude-opus-4-7-thinking be the best AI model on April 24, 2026?$-60
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026$-40
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$-29
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$-20
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?$-20
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$-20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 23, 2026?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.095
Sortino
-0.100
HHI
564
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.115
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.7%
Top-5 markets
41.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 171s — normal for humanCV 1.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.95
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)41.9%
Mid (20-55c)13.3%
High (>55c)44.8%
Sessions
#124/18/2026, 10:16:44 AM29 trades$1,3940 min
4/18/2026, 12:55:16 PM7 trades$3950 min
4/18/2026, 4:50:20 PM2 trades$3330 min
5/1/2026, 5:31:58 PM12 trades$3245 min
5/6/2026, 5:29:03 PM12 trades$2648 min
5/23/2026, 9:41:11 PM5 trades$2435 min
7/16/2026, 6:38:13 PM10 trades$2112 min
6/23/2026, 5:37:29 PM13 trades$1725 min
4/21/2026, 5:24:20 PM7 trades$1614 min
6/6/2026, 9:31:09 AM9 trades$1126 min
4/18/2026, 1:06:56 PM4 trades$940 min
4/19/2026, 3:44:50 PM3 trades$890 min
4/20/2026, 9:35:58 AM9 trades$812 min
6/24/2026, 6:02:02 PM3 trades$800 min
6/1/2026, 7:51:32 PM6 trades$780 min
5/4/2026, 2:50:58 PM2 trades$700 min
4/18/2026, 10:58:02 AM3 trades$670 min
6/10/2026, 3:46:48 PM7 trades$534 min
4/18/2026, 4:58:34 PM3 trades$500 min
6/6/2026, 9:43:04 AM3 trades$400 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
05-01
05-23
06-08
06-14
06-24
07-03
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.95/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.9 / M13.3 / H44.8