@djfhdjfhdjfhdj
#3,018,320250x2c89c4edf80b95f7499dfb97e3f00ee7e89b5f1c
~48d· 82 markets · 228 tradesVol: $214,5102026-08-04 15:05:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (41/81)10.3/20
0.81x (win $9,507 / loss $11,733)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4070/15
Sortino -1.8870/10
$-0.0463 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 408 (81 markets)10/10
16/33 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 437% of peak ($5,967 / $1,367)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,934$-4,325Vol: $204,813
🎭 CULTURE#4,406$1,247Vol: $3,350
💰 FINANCE#9,336$315Vol: $3,148
💻 TECH#2,219$503Vol: $1,918
🌤️ WEATHER#293,473$-317Vol: $872
📢 MENTIONS#168,512$-185Vol: $408
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-2,762
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$214,510
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
82
total markets
Trades
145B / 83S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d
Periods
#2Week
$-12
Vol: $6,481
Month
$-51
Vol: $6,481
All Time
$-2,762
Vol: $214,510
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
41W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-2,762
Win Rate
51%
41W / 40L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$232
Avg Loss
$-293
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,509 (1.6324093785752563% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$1,946
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$1,364
US military action against Iran before July?$1,199
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?$1,011
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$929
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?$503
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$406
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$400
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?$258
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?$157
Top Losers
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$-2,478
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$-1,568
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$-1,167
Israel strike on Iran on June 25?$-995
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$-967
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-949
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-631
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$-456
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$-418
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?$-302
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.072
Sortino
-0.092
HHI
274
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.053
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
27.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal1% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.69
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.2%
High (>55c)48.3%
Sessions
#128/3/2026, 2:44:39 PM10 trades$7,4700 min
10/16/2025, 9:50:35 AM9 trades$6,35914 min
2/28/2026, 7:02:17 AM2 trades$3,5210 min
1/13/2026, 5:30:41 PM3 trades$2,7182 min
1/15/2026, 9:24:04 AM2 trades$2,2131 min
1/14/2026, 5:19:18 PM5 trades$2,0984 min
8/30/2025, 11:15:01 AM1 trades$1,9180 min
1/14/2026, 3:25:44 PM1 trades$1,7100 min
1/14/2026, 3:31:46 PM1 trades$1,6920 min
1/14/2026, 5:11:42 PM3 trades$1,6923 min
10/17/2025, 7:02:49 AM1 trades$1,4590 min
10/17/2025, 7:16:25 AM1 trades$1,4590 min
7/15/2025, 7:13:28 PM2 trades$1,4160 min
7/31/2025, 3:40:32 PM1 trades$1,4160 min
1/16/2026, 10:24:54 PM2 trades$1,2141 min
2/27/2026, 6:06:49 PM2 trades$1,1471 min
1/14/2026, 11:47:28 AM1 trades$1,0060 min
1/4/2026, 12:47:13 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
9/9/2025, 4:09:46 PM2 trades$9901 min
9/26/2025, 8:03:26 AM1 trades$9820 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-21
06-24
10-16
11-05
01-05
01-16
02-18
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 41 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.6 / M35.2 / H48.3