donaldduck

@donaldduck

#45,71964

0x429b2c07db74faaf34d808f2d78832e016150688

~63d· 71 markets · 182 tradesVol: $192,929 @cryptoyaos2026-08-04 19:47:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (42/71)14.6/20
1.07x (win $32,253 / loss $30,047)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.79314.9/15
Sortino 0.9759.8/10
$+0.0294 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 453 (71 markets)10/10
21/31 profitable days (68%)9.4/10
Max DD 150% of peak ($8,546 / $5,700)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+2,368
Contrarian
52% entries < $0.55
Whale
$74,964 invested
Consistent
21/31 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#7,222$6,845Vol: $107,163
🏛️ POLITICS#35,838$302Vol: $14,016
₿ CRYPTO#124,340$53Vol: $8,099

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,368
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$192,929
Total Redeem
$2,961
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
143B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
42W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$2,368
Win Rate
59%
42W / 29L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$768
Avg Loss
$-1,036

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $13,312 (5.622700720986319% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)$9,140
Pacers vs. Mavericks$2,294
Warriors vs. Bucks$1,879
Warriors vs. Magic$1,784
Bills vs. Texans$1,470
Hornets vs. Pacers$1,413
Knicks vs. Heat$1,155
Raptors vs. 76ers$1,141
Suns vs. Trail Blazers$1,132
Hurricanes vs. Wild$1,064

Top Losers

LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$-8,457
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)$-7,680
Ravens vs. Browns$-1,256
Thunder vs. Pelicans$-1,225
Celtics vs. 76ers$-984
Pistons vs. Hawks$-966
49ers vs. Cardinals$-915
Bruins vs. Ducks$-726
Flames vs. Blackhawks$-717
Flames vs. Sabres$-710

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.041
Sortino
0.030
HHI
499
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.029
Kelly %
3.0%
Half-Kelly
1.5%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
44%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
43.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.1h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2588s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)41.3%
High (>55c)48.3%

Sessions

#12
10/31/2025, 3:19:27 PM1 trades$8,4570 min
10/31/2025, 3:52:03 AM2 trades$7,8102 min
10/29/2025, 3:02:53 PM1 trades$5,1060 min
11/1/2025, 1:10:57 PM1 trades$5,0520 min
11/16/2025, 4:08:48 AM4 trades$4,48312 min
10/31/2025, 3:20:19 AM1 trades$3,6100 min
11/18/2025, 4:17:23 PM3 trades$2,8425 min
3/5/2026, 4:10:15 PM2 trades$2,7762 min
11/1/2025, 12:18:05 PM1 trades$2,6280 min
11/17/2025, 4:04:19 AM4 trades$2,4276 min
11/20/2025, 7:55:33 AM6 trades$2,29620 min
5/24/2024, 10:42:23 AM2 trades$2,2001 min
10/31/2025, 3:24:51 PM2 trades$1,6723 min
10/29/2025, 5:12:31 AM1 trades$1,6000 min
3/30/2026, 2:38:02 AM1 trades$1,4610 min
11/19/2025, 3:08:57 AM2 trades$1,4383 min
10/30/2025, 1:32:27 PM1 trades$1,4200 min
10/30/2025, 2:49:47 AM1 trades$1,3490 min
11/16/2025, 5:14:48 AM2 trades$1,2561 min
11/19/2025, 12:07:31 PM1 trades$1,2040 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-24
10-30
11-10
11-18
03-05
04-06
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.5 / M41.3 / H48.3