donaldmonkey

@donaldmonkey

#139,26979

0x0a7846db4fdab3b6d55954aadcada7f958afe454

~120d· 136 markets · 369 tradesVol: $51,845 @lixiaowei1983022026-08-05 16:40:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

84% (113/134)20/20
1.86x (win $777 / loss $418)13.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.53115/15
Sortino 3.52610/10
$+0.0164 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 222 (134 markets)10/10
70/86 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($261 / $360)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 84%
Profitable
PnL $+330
Consistent
70/86 profitable days
Win Streak
18 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,468,995$-51Vol: $23,630
🌤️ WEATHER#7,421$92Vol: $15,922
₿ CRYPTO#1,484,764$-110Vol: $8,573
💰 FINANCE#68,884$6Vol: $1,305
⚽ SPORTS#60,498$438Vol: $876
💻 TECH#14,590$16Vol: $660
🎭 CULTURE#770,803$-68Vol: $445
📈 ECONOMICS#511,398$-2Vol: $225

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$330
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,845
Total Redeem
$555
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
136
total markets
Trades
199B / 170S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~120d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $159
Month
$2
Vol: $159
All Time
$330
Vol: $51,845

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
84%
113W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$330
Win Rate
84%
113W / 21L
Profit Factor
1.86x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $571 (1.7290254237288136% of PnL)

Top Winners

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs$414
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?$128
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$29
Avalanche vs. Stars$22
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?$17
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$16
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on June 8?$10
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$7
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 13?$6
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$6

Top Losers

Solana above $130 on March 28?$-163
Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21?$-96
Trump second inauguration gets more viewers than first?$-83
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?$-30
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-20
Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?$-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$-4
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania US Senate Election?$-3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.080
Sortino
0.083
HHI
193
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.017
Kelly %
29.4%
Half-Kelly
14.7%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
20.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 294s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.7
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)7.5%
High (>55c)92%

Sessions

#12
5/11/2026, 2:44:23 AM3 trades$1,6590 min
11/18/2024, 2:35:11 AM5 trades$1,2197 min
6/12/2026, 7:52:18 AM13 trades$1,1707 min
6/19/2026, 9:24:44 AM2 trades$1,0980 min
7/31/2026, 8:45:15 AM3 trades$1,0230 min
5/16/2026, 2:03:22 AM3 trades$9984 min
3/29/2026, 6:58:46 AM2 trades$7021 min
10/26/2024, 3:32:57 AM8 trades$6577 min
10/24/2024, 7:18:22 AM6 trades$6376 min
4/8/2026, 7:58:23 AM5 trades$5980 min
10/24/2024, 3:25:42 AM2 trades$5981 min
1/27/2026, 2:59:09 AM1 trades$5950 min
9/21/2025, 8:01:20 AM4 trades$5753 min
6/8/2026, 10:02:12 AM2 trades$5000 min
11/20/2025, 7:39:29 AM5 trades$4913 min
11/1/2025, 11:09:55 AM1 trades$3880 min
11/2/2025, 7:07:29 AM1 trades$3880 min
5/5/2025, 10:06:17 AM2 trades$3770 min
4/1/2026, 10:16:05 AM2 trades$3710 min
4/15/2026, 8:49:42 AM2 trades$3570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-24
02-14
04-27
08-08
12-10
03-08
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
26% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.5 / M7.5 / H92