@donclairse

#311,30857

0xf802e2ce640ebca5e43c8d29e2688a4820561030

~11d· 30 markets · 125 tradesVol: $7,9602026-08-05 17:40:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (10/27)3.5/20
1.94x (win $126 / loss $65)14.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.70415/15
Sortino 10.72310/10
$+0.2390 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 4252 (27 markets)0/10
8/21 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 58% of peak ($35 / $61)2.4/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+52
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55

Categories

7
SPORTS#136,398$78Vol: $5,971
🎭 CULTURE#678,795$-9Vol: $1,283
🏛️ POLITICS#1,110,406$-4Vol: $441
CRYPTO#1,089,616$-7Vol: $130
🌤️ WEATHER#222,958$-4Vol: $51
📢 MENTIONS#95,036$-2Vol: $34
📈 ECONOMICS#568,808$-5Vol: $23

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$52
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,960
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
54B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$11
Vol: $1,144
Week
$-0
Vol: $4,365
Month
$43
Vol: $4,723
All Time
$52
Vol: $7,960

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
10W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$52
Win Rate
37%
10W / 17L
Profit Factor
1.94x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $66 (1.2694240432933899% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?$29
CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to Score$20
ITF Hechingen: Barbora Palicova vs Fiona Ferro$17
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alejandro Moro Canas vs Alexander Donski$15
Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)$13
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to Score$11
CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5$10
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?$9
Will Atlante FC win on 2026-08-04?$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$0

Top Losers

Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-07-31?$-14
York City FC vs. Crawley Town FC: O/U 3.5$-10
Will FK Rodina Moskva win on 2026-07-31?$-8
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-6
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)$-6
Will Viborg FF win on 2026-08-02?$-4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-4
Istanbul 2: Tuncay Duran vs Antoine Ghibaudo$-2
Will Trump say "Iran" 5+ times during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation?$-2
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-04?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.240
Sortino
0.623
HHI
664
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.288
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.5%
Top-5 markets
49.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1328s — normal for humanCV 1.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule7 trades/day — normal1.7 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.15
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.4%
Mid (20-55c)38.9%
High (>55c)40.7%

Sessions

#12
8/5/2026, 4:10:17 AM8 trades$1,0044 min
8/2/2026, 3:00:06 PM2 trades$680 min
8/2/2026, 7:22:36 PM4 trades$440 min
7/31/2026, 7:38:18 AM7 trades$354 min
7/19/2026, 7:56:24 PM5 trades$270 min
8/3/2026, 7:30:47 PM6 trades$271 min
8/2/2026, 1:34:12 PM8 trades$275 min
7/29/2026, 5:40:15 PM6 trades$272 min
8/1/2026, 8:42:50 PM4 trades$250 min
7/31/2026, 12:02:05 PM4 trades$233 min
7/30/2026, 7:05:18 PM4 trades$210 min
7/31/2026, 3:56:20 AM2 trades$210 min
8/3/2026, 8:20:51 PM2 trades$210 min
8/2/2026, 4:18:08 PM2 trades$210 min
8/4/2026, 9:16:54 AM3 trades$190 min
7/31/2026, 6:06:42 AM2 trades$180 min
8/2/2026, 6:06:33 PM6 trades$182 min
7/29/2026, 7:28:57 PM3 trades$160 min
8/1/2026, 8:27:03 AM4 trades$161 min
8/2/2026, 7:04:06 PM2 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-20 00:00:00
2026-07-29 23:59:00
2026-07-31 17:00:00
2026-08-01 23:30:00
2026-08-02 14:00:00
2026-08-03 19:45:00
2026-08-09 12:30:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.15/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.4 / M38.9 / H40.7