@donluck

#2,422,71424

0xc5a56a3e119fb18282dc8e4ab6b474d4e74c3303

~60d· 71 markets · 181 tradesVol: $2,4872026-08-05 15:50:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (30/59)10.4/20
0.55x (win $74 / loss $135)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8610/15
Sortino -4.9520/10
$-0.1301 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 349 (59 markets)10/10
15/35 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 12669% of peak ($61 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
36% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,476,156$-56Vol: $1,195
💻 TECH#194,748$-1Vol: $521
₿ CRYPTO#357,429$2Vol: $454
💰 FINANCE#514,895$-3Vol: $83
🎭 CULTURE#155,281$1Vol: $70
⚽ SPORTS#1,341,744$-10Vol: $56
📈 ECONOMICS#438,087$-1Vol: $49
🌤️ WEATHER#172,203$-0Vol: $32

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-63
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,487
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
99B / 82S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~60d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-63
Vol: $2,487

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
30W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-63
Win Rate
51%
30W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29 (0.4685404024273395% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$12
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$9
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$8
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?$8
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)$7
DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?$5
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $4
DeepSeek V4 released by March 15?$3
Will Trump meet with Ursula von der Leyen in January 2026?$3
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$3

Top Losers

Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in July 2026?$-24
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-18
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$-14
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?$-14
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-10
Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?$-10
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$-6
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$-5
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.251
Sortino
-0.221
HHI
186
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.185
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
21.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6588s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.66
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.4%
Mid (20-55c)35.4%
High (>55c)28.3%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 4:35:43 PM7 trades$810 min
5/4/2026, 10:57:28 PM4 trades$594 min
7/19/2026, 9:41:10 PM2 trades$440 min
5/4/2026, 10:43:48 PM2 trades$360 min
7/19/2026, 8:17:57 PM2 trades$310 min
3/17/2026, 3:19:49 PM2 trades$304 min
6/19/2026, 1:07:07 PM2 trades$300 min
5/4/2026, 9:57:00 PM4 trades$280 min
1/19/2026, 4:57:26 PM2 trades$170 min
3/17/2026, 8:57:13 PM1 trades$150 min
3/11/2026, 2:28:03 PM1 trades$150 min
3/17/2026, 3:52:31 PM1 trades$150 min
11/4/2025, 3:21:35 PM3 trades$157 min
3/17/2026, 10:16:37 PM1 trades$140 min
3/15/2026, 7:09:55 AM1 trades$140 min
3/16/2026, 10:43:33 PM2 trades$140 min
3/3/2026, 11:42:11 AM2 trades$134 min
3/12/2026, 6:10:43 PM1 trades$120 min
1/14/2026, 5:10:08 PM2 trades$110 min
1/20/2026, 4:54:30 AM1 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-31
11-13
11-24
12-02
01-14
03-01
03-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 181 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.66/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.4 / M35.4 / H28.3