@dontknow.

#2,973,18840

0x45d437f8667da9201c787d5b548169f45f12c481

~24d· 75 markets · 622 tradesVol: $333,4782026-08-04 21:49:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (50/75)18.3/20
0.99x (win $15,085 / loss $15,270)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1010/15
Sortino -0.1280/10
$-0.0013 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 559 (75 markets)9.7/10
14/19 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 307% of peak ($6,635 / $2,164)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 8.3 entries/market
Whale
$137,040 invested
Consistent
14/19 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#1,664,911$-4,148Vol: $293,025
🎭 CULTURE#2,586$2,587Vol: $40,453

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,561
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$333,478
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
164B / 458S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
50W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$-1,561
Win Rate
67%
50W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$302
Avg Loss
$-611

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,793 (4.351526915611247% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$3,510
Over $80M committed to the Solomon public sale?$1,864
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?$1,419
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$1,285
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?$1,224
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$814
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$794
Over $1M committed to the Laso Finance public sale?$628
P2P FDV above $10M one day after launch?$405
Pump.fun >$5B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?$346

Top Losers

MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?$-6,798
Over $10M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$-3,402
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?$-1,156
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$-1,030
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$-1,022
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?$-1,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$-241
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$-200
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.005
Sortino
-0.007
HHI
520
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.2%
Top-5 markets
38.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.29
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)40.9%
High (>55c)45.1%

Sessions

#12
1/10/2026, 3:44:02 PM6 trades$30,56610 min
4/2/2026, 5:01:19 PM8 trades$15,9760 min
11/25/2025, 1:58:53 PM3 trades$13,0922 min
4/1/2026, 1:09:33 AM20 trades$12,7511 min
1/11/2026, 10:47:48 PM1 trades$11,3350 min
6/30/2026, 9:30:05 PM329 trades$10,4350 min
1/10/2026, 2:59:38 PM1 trades$10,1100 min
1/6/2026, 2:32:55 PM1 trades$9,9900 min
1/10/2026, 2:40:36 PM1 trades$9,9900 min
11/18/2025, 5:33:25 PM2 trades$8,0921 min
11/18/2025, 4:33:13 PM2 trades$7,5530 min
11/18/2025, 4:12:25 PM2 trades$7,4612 min
1/27/2026, 10:53:23 PM2 trades$7,4461 min
11/25/2025, 2:43:23 PM14 trades$6,9957 min
11/27/2025, 9:00:55 AM1 trades$6,3980 min
11/25/2025, 10:44:09 AM1 trades$5,7410 min
11/25/2025, 5:44:01 AM9 trades$5,74010 min
6/30/2026, 1:40:53 PM24 trades$5,6372 min
12/18/2025, 12:11:42 PM2 trades$4,3551 min
1/28/2026, 10:07:45 AM1 trades$4,0440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-11
11-18
12-19
01-11
03-17
04-01
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 31 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14 / M40.9 / H45.1