drgoat

@drgoat

#117,94060

0x8c4c413e1dffae8d82f4ed655107fb882112b7b8

~68d· 221 markets · 481 tradesVol: $24,0122026-08-05 16:37:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (110/216)10.5/20
1.16x (win $2,084 / loss $1,798)4.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.58815/15
Sortino 3.11110/10
$+0.0544 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 314 (216 markets)10/10
30/63 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($308 / $582)3.4/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+483
Contrarian
87% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,751,829$-233Vol: $13,936
🏛️ POLITICS#72,641$78Vol: $7,440
💰 FINANCE#7,068$488Vol: $2,255
📈 ECONOMICS#14,654$75Vol: $127
CRYPTO#155,094$31Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$483
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,012
Total Redeem
$119
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
221
total markets
Trades
432B / 49S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-2
Vol: $81
All Time
$483
Vol: $24,012

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
110W / 106L events
Realized PnL
$483
Win Rate
51%
110W / 106L
Profit Factor
1.16x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $456 (0.9451371054593655% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$225
Pelosi vs. S&P - January$120
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings?$112
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$75
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$45
Jazz vs. Cavaliers: O/U 251.5$43
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)$41
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?$39
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$38
Pelicans vs. Wizards: O/U 242.5$38

Top Losers

Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-102
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO?$-69
Clippers vs. Timberwolves$-64
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-51
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$-47
Will Ja Morant be traded this season?$-43
Bucks vs. Nuggets: O/U 222.5$-42
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-41
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)$-41
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-01?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.083
Sortino
0.199
HHI
226
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.5%
Top-5 markets
24.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 162s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.61
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.4%
Mid (20-55c)57.9%
High (>55c)12.7%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 3:54:48 AM3 trades$2700 min
1/12/2026, 9:03:13 PM7 trades$2406 min
1/9/2026, 11:22:42 AM1 trades$2050 min
5/29/2026, 6:40:38 PM4 trades$2043 min
6/11/2026, 5:32:36 AM4 trades$1493 min
6/14/2026, 11:50:15 PM9 trades$1415 min
3/10/2026, 9:57:49 PM11 trades$12922 min
1/13/2026, 12:20:05 AM8 trades$12811 min
4/18/2026, 8:53:24 PM10 trades$1146 min
1/12/2026, 9:20:29 PM2 trades$1072 min
1/10/2026, 11:11:06 AM2 trades$1000 min
3/8/2026, 4:52:43 PM8 trades$999 min
1/12/2026, 8:45:29 PM8 trades$826 min
8/1/2026, 4:26:24 PM3 trades$810 min
1/14/2026, 10:03:08 AM1 trades$800 min
1/12/2026, 10:52:21 PM2 trades$791 min
1/19/2026, 2:29:16 PM1 trades$770 min
3/15/2026, 4:56:29 PM6 trades$695 min
1/12/2026, 11:04:08 AM1 trades$680 min
1/12/2026, 2:21:24 PM1 trades$660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-09
01-31
02-15
02-28
03-10
03-25
05-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 24 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.61/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.4 / M57.9 / H12.7