@drunkobunko

#2,611,28165

0xba89b38cc842b40bedb004c211849ce9f5a0468c

~72d· 203 markets · 509 tradesVol: $13,1532026-08-06 07:03:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (18/147)0/20
2.53x (win $805 / loss $319)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.21415/15
Sortino 17.04210/10
$+0.7934 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 1094 (147 markets)7/10
9/49 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 30% of peak ($147 / $489)8/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
74% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,531,846$-113Vol: $11,168
💰 FINANCE#518,256$-3Vol: $1,156
📈 ECONOMICS#531,765$-2Vol: $490
SPORTS#1,396,688$-13Vol: $258
CRYPTO#217,441$13Vol: $59
💻 TECH#190,739$-1Vol: $13
📢 MENTIONS#95,391$-2Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-121
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,153
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
203
total markets
Trades
338B / 171S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~72d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-3
Vol: $22
Month
$-6
Vol: $270
All Time
$-121
Vol: $13,153

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
12%
18W / 129L events
Realized PnL
$-121
Win Rate
12%
18W / 129L
Profit Factor
2.53x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $482 (3.973382777091059% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$257
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$142
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$84
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$74
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$70
Will Israel strike Iraq by February 28?$65
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$27
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 14?$16

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$-35
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$-15
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?$-14
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$-12
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?$-8
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$-8
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-8
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$-8
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.167
Sortino
0.951
HHI
255
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.860
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
30.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 1.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.65
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)74%
Mid (20-55c)16.9%
High (>55c)9.2%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 11:39:04 AM16 trades$8095 min
5/5/2026, 3:28:48 PM23 trades$24110 min
5/18/2026, 9:44:30 PM24 trades$1997 min
6/16/2026, 7:34:46 AM10 trades$1402 min
7/28/2026, 5:55:49 PM15 trades$1364 min
3/31/2026, 11:06:15 PM21 trades$1352 min
7/4/2026, 4:58:16 AM4 trades$801 min
5/26/2026, 7:01:23 AM20 trades$728 min
5/9/2026, 9:21:10 PM7 trades$695 min
6/8/2026, 11:11:04 AM7 trades$610 min
2/28/2026, 11:29:23 AM2 trades$570 min
6/3/2026, 8:15:18 PM2 trades$500 min
4/1/2026, 7:34:41 AM4 trades$401 min
7/12/2026, 12:14:34 AM27 trades$359 min
5/9/2026, 4:05:40 PM8 trades$343 min
7/4/2026, 10:14:16 PM6 trades$332 min
1/11/2026, 4:34:44 PM2 trades$331 min
6/14/2026, 2:20:07 PM4 trades$321 min
6/8/2026, 12:09:04 AM4 trades$300 min
6/8/2026, 5:37:22 AM5 trades$300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
01-29
02-28
03-31
05-26
06-26
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L74 / M16.9 / H9.2